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Airbnb (XTER:6Z1) Beneish M-Score : -3.00 (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


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What is Airbnb Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Airbnb's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XTER:6Z1' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.77   Med: -2.61   Max: -1.04
Current: -3

During the past 7 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Airbnb was -1.04. The lowest was -3.77. And the median was -2.61.


Airbnb Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Airbnb's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Airbnb Beneish M-Score Chart

Airbnb Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - -2.66 -2.63 -1.09

Airbnb Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.04 -1.09 -1.17 -1.27 -3.00

Competitive Comparison of Airbnb's Beneish M-Score

For the Travel Services subindustry, Airbnb's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Airbnb's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Airbnb's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Airbnb's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Airbnb Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Airbnb for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9475+0.528 * 0.9956+0.404 * 0.9524+0.892 * 1.106+0.115 * 0.7063
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.3084+4.679 * -0.103205-0.327 * 1.0842
=-3.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €6,080 Mil.
Revenue was 3362.532 + 2552.892 + 1970.64 + 2033.906 = €9,920 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2943.567 + 2082.818 + 1529.04 + 1681.778 = €8,237 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €16,505 Mil.
Total Assets was €19,977 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €236 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €54 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €3,819 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €10,214 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,987 Mil.
Net Income was 1232.568 + 515.595 + 242.88 + -320.033 = €1,671 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 2.703 + -39.018 + -9.2 + 3.668 = €-42 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 971.278 + 976.379 + 1769.16 + 57.771 = €3,775 Mil.
Total Receivables was €5,802 Mil.
Revenue was 3182.989 + 2292.732 + 1698.012 + 1795.488 = €8,969 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2752.906 + 1893.996 + 1298.26 + 1469.808 = €7,415 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €16,419 Mil.
Total Assets was €20,088 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €253 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €38 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €2,639 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €9,202 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €2,113 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(6079.948 / 9919.97) / (5801.904 / 8969.221)
=0.6129 / 0.646868
=0.9475

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(7414.97 / 8969.221) / (8237.203 / 9919.97)
=0.826713 / 0.830366
=0.9956

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (16505.419 + 236.062) / 19976.972) / (1 - (16419.051 + 252.99) / 20088.343)
=0.161961 / 0.170064
=0.9524

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=9919.97 / 8969.221
=1.106

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(38.349 / (38.349 + 252.99)) / (54.073 / (54.073 + 236.062))
=0.13163 / 0.186372
=0.7063

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3818.78 / 9919.97) / (2638.94 / 8969.221)
=0.384959 / 0.294222
=1.3084

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1986.705 + 10213.736) / 19976.972) / ((2112.935 + 9202.277) / 20088.343)
=0.610725 / 0.563273
=1.0842

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1671.01 - -41.847 - 3774.588) / 19976.972
=-0.103205

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Airbnb has a M-score of -3.05 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Airbnb Business Description

Address
888 Brannan Street, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94103
Started in 2008, Airbnb is the world's largest online alternative accommodation travel agency, also offering booking services for boutique hotels and experiences. Airbnb's platform offered over 8 million active accommodation listings as of Sept. 30, 2024. Listings from the company's over 5 million hosts are spread over almost every country in the world. In 2023, 50% of revenue was from the North American region. Transaction fees for online bookings account for all its revenue.

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