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Delta (XZIM:DLTA.ZW) Beneish M-Score : -1.30 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Delta Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.3 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Delta's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XZIM:DLTA.ZW' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.17   Med: -0.8   Max: 1.38
Current: -1.3

During the past 8 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Delta was 1.38. The lowest was -4.17. And the median was -0.80.


Delta Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Delta's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Delta Beneish M-Score Chart

Delta Annual Data
Trend Mar09 Mar11 Mar12 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial -4.17 1.38 -0.80 1.22 -1.30

Delta Semi-Annual Data
Mar11 Mar12 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 1.22 - -1.30 -

Competitive Comparison of Delta's Beneish M-Score

For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, Delta's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Delta's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Delta's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Delta's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Delta Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Delta for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.674+0.528 * 1.0306+0.404 * 0.8906+0.892 * 1.5712+0.115 * 1.1357
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9267+4.679 * 0.014802-0.327 * 1.0675
=-1.30

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar23) TTM:Last Year (Mar22) TTM:
Total Receivables was ZWL40,978 Mil.
Revenue was ZWL470,204 Mil.
Gross Profit was ZWL280,814 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ZWL177,108 Mil.
Total Assets was ZWL402,722 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ZWL174,449 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ZWL12,805 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ZWL28,758 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ZWL129,720 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ZWL2,287 Mil.
Net Income was ZWL65,392 Mil.
Gross Profit was ZWL0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was ZWL59,431 Mil.
Total Receivables was ZWL15,581 Mil.
Revenue was ZWL299,273 Mil.
Gross Profit was ZWL184,203 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ZWL112,598 Mil.
Total Assets was ZWL286,508 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ZWL133,038 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ZWL11,202 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ZWL19,753 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ZWL82,008 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ZWL5,966 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(40978.246 / 470204.441) / (15580.593 / 299272.93)
=0.08715 / 0.052061
=1.674

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(184202.595 / 299272.93) / (280814.403 / 470204.441)
=0.6155 / 0.597218
=1.0306

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (177107.919 + 174448.862) / 402722.435) / (1 - (112598.293 + 133038.305) / 286507.591)
=0.127049 / 0.142652
=0.8906

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=470204.441 / 299272.93
=1.5712

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(11202.396 / (11202.396 + 133038.305)) / (12805.232 / (12805.232 + 174448.862))
=0.077665 / 0.068384
=1.1357

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(28758.475 / 470204.441) / (19752.75 / 299272.93)
=0.061162 / 0.066002
=0.9267

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2286.687 + 129719.978) / 402722.435) / ((5966.394 + 82007.564) / 286507.591)
=0.327786 / 0.307056
=1.0675

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(65392.176 - 0 - 59431.101) / 402722.435
=0.014802

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Delta has a M-score of -1.30 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Delta (XZIM:DLTA.ZW) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Sable House, Northridge Park, P.O. Box: BW 294, Northridge Close, Borrowdale, Harare, ZWE
Delta Corp Ltd is principally an integrated beverage company. The firm manufactures and distributes beverages in Zimbabwe. The company operates through Lager Beer, Sparkling Beverages, Wines and Spirits and Sorghum Beer segments. The lager Beer segment manufactures and distributes lager beer (malt and sorghum-based clear beers). Sparkling Beverages segment trades in carbonated soft drinks and alternative non-alcoholic beverages, Wines and Spirits manufactures and distributes wines and spirits and the Sorghum Beer segment manufactures and sells sorghum-based opaque beer.

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