YTO Express Group Co (SHSE:600233) Peter Lynch Fair Value: ¥22.25 (As of Aug. 10, 2026) — 2345% Above Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

SHSE:600233 YTO Express Group Co Ltd SHSE:600233
97 GF Score
Price ¥19.17
GF Value ¥19.39
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is YTO Express Group Co Peter Lynch Fair Value?

YTO Express Group Co SHSE:600233 +1.48% 97 Peter Lynch Fair Value is ¥22.25 as of Aug. 10, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 0.91. GuruFocus rates SHSE:600233 with a GF Score™ of 97/100 and a GF Value™ of ¥19.39 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 313 Transportation companies, YTO Express Group Co ranks better than 51.76% on this metric.

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, YTO Express Group Co's PEG is 1. YTO Express Group Co's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 15.7. YTO Express Group Co's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 was ¥1.42. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is ¥22.25.

As of today (2026-08-10), YTO Express Group Co's share price is ¥19.17. YTO Express Group Co's Peter Lynch fair value is ¥22.25. Therefore, YTO Express Group Co's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 0.86.


The historical rank and industry rank for YTO Express Group Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:600233' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.54   Med: 0.91   Max: 3.78
Current: 0.86


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of YTO Express Group Co was 3.78. The lowest was 0.54. And the median was 0.91.


SHSE:600233's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked better than
51.76% of 313 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 0.87 vs SHSE:600233: 0.86

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


YTO Express Group Co  (SHSE:600233) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 15.7 instead of 15 in this case.

YTO Express Group Co's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=19.17/22.25
=0.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


YTO Express Group Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms


YTO Express Group Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for YTO Express Group Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

YTO Express Group Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

YTO Express Group Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 8.04 15.73 24.31 21.13

YTO Express Group Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 23.31 21.30 21.04 21.13 22.25

SHSE:600233 vs UPS, FDX, JBHT: Peter Lynch Fair Value Comparison

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, YTO Express Group Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


YTO Express Group Co Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, YTO Express Group Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where YTO Express Group Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.


SHSE:600233
97GF Score
YTO Express Group Co Ltd SHSE:600233
Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

YTO Express Group Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

YTO Express Group Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 15.7 *1.417
=22.25

YTO Express Group Co's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was ¥1.42.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Peter Lynch Fair Value →
What does a Peter Lynch Fair Value of ¥22.25 mean?
YTO Express Group Co (SHSE:600233) has a Peter Lynch Fair Value of ¥22.25 as of Aug. 10, 2026. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on YTO Express Group Co and its competitors. This is 2345% above median its historical median of 0.91. Over the past decade, YTO Express Group Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.54 to 3.78. According to the industry distribution chart, YTO Express Group Co ranks #151 out of 313 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 48.2%.
Is YTO Express Group Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value too high?
YTO Express Group Co's current Peter Lynch Fair Value of ¥22.25 is 2345% above median its 10-year median of 0.91. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.54 to a high of 3.78. Based on the distribution chart, YTO Express Group Co ranks #151 out of 313 companies in the Transportation industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, YTO Express Group Co has a GF Score™ of 97/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does YTO Express Group Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value compare to UPS and FDX?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, YTO Express Group Co ranks #151 out of 313 companies for Peter Lynch Fair Value. This puts YTO Express Group Co in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 0.87. Historically, YTO Express Group Co's own Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.54 to 3.78 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Peter Lynch Fair Value for a Transportation company?
The median Peter Lynch Fair Value among Transportation companies is 0.87, based on 313 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Peter Lynch Fair Value significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Peter Lynch Fair Value should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Peter Lynch Fair Value mean?
A high Peter Lynch Fair Value can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on YTO Express Group Co and its competitors. For the Transportation industry, the median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 0.87 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. YTO Express Group Co's current Peter Lynch Fair Value is ¥22.25, which is 2345% above median its own 10-year median of 0.91. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is YTO Express Group Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, YTO Express Group Co (SHSE:600233) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is ¥19.39, compared to a current price of ¥19.17 — trading 1.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Peter Lynch Fair Value is ¥22.25, which is 2345% above median its 10-year median of 0.91. YTO Express Group Co's overall GF Score™ is 97/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Peter Lynch Fair Value calculated?
Peter Lynch Fair Value is calculated from a company's financial statements. For YTO Express Group Co (SHSE:600233), the current Peter Lynch Fair Value is ¥22.25 as of Aug. 10, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is YTO Express Group Co (SHSE:600233) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, YTO Express Group Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ¥19.17 is trading 1.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of ¥19.39. GuruFocus considers YTO Express Group Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for SHSE:600233:

  • Peter Lynch Fair Value: ¥22.25 (2345% above median its 10-year median of 0.91)
  • GF Value™: ¥19.39 vs. price of ¥19.17 (1.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 97/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SHSE:600233 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


YTO Express Group Co Business Description

Address No. 28, Xinxie Road, Huaxin Town, Qingpu District, Shanghai, CHN, 201708
YTO Express is one of the Tongda operators—the top four national express delivery companies that use the network partner model. In this model, Tongdas provide line-haul transportation, sorting, and waybill services to their network partners for fees, while their local network partners provide first-mile pickup and last-mile delivery services under the Tongdas' brands and collect customer payments.The company was founded by Yu Huijiao in 2000. Yu remains chair and president with a 33.4% stake as of Feb. 25, 2026. Yu and Zhang Xiaojuan, who owned 2.15% of YTO as of that date, are persons acting in concert. YTO's strategic shareholder is leading China e-commerce company Alibaba Group and its affiliated companies, with around a 16.8% interest as of Feb. 25, 2026.
97GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SHSE:600233

Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

¥19.17
Price
¥19.39
GF Value