Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:
1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.
GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.
Ameristar Casinos Predictability Rank Calculation
In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.
Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:
Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.
The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.
Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns
Predictables
Non-Predictable
All stocks
Total Number of stocks
570
1833
2403
Total Lost Money
61
830
891
Total Lost More Than 50%
18
412
430
Total Lost More Than 90%
4
86
90
Average Gain
260.6%
100.0%
138.1%
Median Gain
150.0%
13.0%
39.0%
Maximum Gain
2852.0%
11483.0%
11483.0%
Maximum Loss
-100.0%
-100.0%
-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain
12.7%
6.7%
8.4%
Annualized Median Gain
8.9%
1.1%
3.1%
For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.
Ameristar Casinos Predictability Rank Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ameristar Casinos's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Ameristar Casinos Inc was incorporated in Nevada in 1993. The Company is a developer, owner and operator of casino entertainment facilities in local and regional markets. It has eight properties in seven markets. The Company's portfolio of casinos consists of: Ameristar Casino Resort Spa St. Charles; Ameristar Casino Hotel Kansas City; Ameristar Casino Hotel Council Bluffs; Ameristar Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk; Ameristar Casino Hotel Vicksburg; Ameristar Casino Hotel East Chicago; and Cactus Petes Resort Casino and The Horseshu Hotel and Casino in Jackpot, Nevada. Ameristar Casino Resort Spa St. Charles serves the greater St. Louis metropolitan market with a large casino and a variety of amenities, including its luxury all-suite hotel and spa. The hotel also features a 7,000-square-foot, full-service spa and an indoor/outdoor pool. Its hotel offers a mix of suites and standard rooms that feature custom finishes. Guests can select from nine restaurants and seven bars/lounges. Ameristar Casino Hotel Council Bluffs serves the Omaha and southwestern Iowa markets. The property's hotel and Main Street Pavilion comprise its landside facilities. Ameristar Casino Hotel Council Bluffs' 160 rooms include luxury suites and king whirlpool rooms. The property also offers dining and meeting space. Ameristar Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk is a gaming and resort destination with a luxury hotel. The 33-story hotel tower offers both luxury rooms and suites and a meeting and event center. It has Black Hawk's only full-service spa, an enclosed rooftop swimming pool and indoor/outdoor whirlpool spas. The property also has four dining venues and several bars. Ameristar Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk is located in the center of the Black Hawk gaming district, approximately 40 miles west of Denver, and it caters primarily to patrons from the Denver metropolitan area and surrounding states. Ameristar Casino Hotel Vicksburg attributes to its location and gaming, lodging and dining offerings. The property has the market's only live poker room and a 1,000-space parking garage with direct access to the casino. The property has three dining venues and meeting space. Ameristar Casino Hotel Vicksburg is located one-quarter mile north of Interstate 20 in Vicksburg, Mississippi. Ameristar Casino Hotel East Chicago serves metropolitan Chicago and Northwest Indiana. East Chicago's dining choices include six restaurants and two bars. The property also features a newly renovated hotel, banquet space and a Star Club players' lounge. Cactus Petes Resort Casino and The Horseshu Hotel and Casino are located in Jackpot, Nevada, just south of the Idaho border. The properties' resort amenities include a hotel, an Olympic-sized pool, a heated spa, a styling salon, a recreational vehicle park and access to a nearby 18-hole golf course. In addition, an adjacent general store and service station serve guests and regional travelers.
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