What is Greenidge Generation Holdings Predictability Rank?
Not Rated
Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:
1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.
It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.
GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.
Greenidge Generation Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation
In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.
Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:
Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.
The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.
Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns
| Predictables | Non-Predictable | All stocks |
|---|
| Total Number of stocks | 570 | 1833 | 2403 |
| Total Lost Money | 61 | 830 | 891 |
| Total Lost More Than 50% | 18 | 412 | 430 |
| Total Lost More Than 90% | 4 | 86 | 90 |
| Average Gain | 260.6% | 100.0% | 138.1% |
| Median Gain | 150.0% | 13.0% | 39.0% |
| Maximum Gain | 2852.0% | 11483.0% | 11483.0% |
| Maximum Loss | -100.0% | -100.0% | -100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain | 12.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain | 8.9% | 1.1% | 3.1% |
For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.
| Predictability Rank | 5-Star | 4.5-Star | 4-Star | 3.5-Star | 3-Star | 2.5-Star | 2-Star | 1-Star (non-predictable) | Average among all |
|---|
| % Out of All 2403 Stocks |
3.3% |
2.9% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
3.3% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
76.3% |
100% |
| % that are in Loss (10y) |
3% |
10% |
8% |
9% |
11% |
18% |
16% |
45% |
37% |
| Average Gain (10y) |
364.6% |
330.9% |
278.0% |
235.1% |
243.5% |
227.8% |
154.8% |
100.0% |
138.1% |
| Median Gain (10y) |
238.5% |
193.5% |
171.0% |
159.0% |
132.5% |
113.5% |
87.0% |
13.0% |
39.0% |
| Maximum Gainer |
2228.0% |
2547.0% |
2452.0% |
2852.0% |
2432.0% |
1892.0% |
1807.0% |
11483.0% |
11483.0% |
| Maximum Loser |
-82.0% |
-53.0% |
-67.0% |
-100.0% |
-83.0% |
-100.0% |
-78.0% |
-100.0% |
-100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain |
15.4% |
14.6% |
13.2% |
12.0% |
12.2% |
11.7% |
9.1% |
6.7% |
8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain |
12.1% |
10.6% |
9.8% |
9.3% |
8.2% |
7.3% |
6.0% |
1.1% |
3.1% |
For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank
Also read:
Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety
Greenidge Generation Holdings (Greenidge Generation Holdings) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
135 Rennell Drive, 3rd Floor, Fairfield, CT, USA, 06890
Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc. owns and operates a vertically integrated cryptocurrency data center and power generation company. The Company owns and operates facilities at two locations: the Town of Torrey, New York and Spartanburg, South Carolina. The Company's cryptocurrency data center operations generate revenue in the form of bitcoin by earning bitcoin as rewards and transaction fees for supporting the global bitcoin network with application-specific integrated circuit computers (ASICs or miners) owned or leased by the Company. The Company also owns and operates a 106MW power facility that is connected to the New York Independent System Operator (NYISO) power grid.
Executives
| Jordan Kovler |
director |
135 RENNELL DRIVE, 3RD FLOOR, FAIRFIELD CT 05890 |
| Christian Mulvihill |
officer: Chief Financial Officer |
135 RENNELL DRIVE, 3RD FLOOR, FAIRFIELD CT 06890 |
| Michael P Neuscheler |
director |
C/O I3 MOBILE INC, 181 HARBOR DRIVE, STAMFORD CT 06902 |
| Daniel Rothaupt |
director |
GREENIDGE GENERATION HOLDINGS INC., 590 PLANT ROAD, DRESDEN NY 14441 |
| Atlas Capital Gp Lp |
director, 10 percent owner |
100 NORTHFIELD STREET, GREENWICH CT 06830 |
| Atlas Capital Resources Gp Llc |
director, 10 percent owner |
100 NORTHFIELD STREET, GREENWICH CT 06830 |
| Andrew M Bursky |
director, 10 percent owner |
|
| Timothy J Fazio |
director, 10 percent owner |
ATLAS HOLDINGS LLC, 100 NORTHFIELD STREET, GREENWICH CT 06830 |
| Robert Loughran |
officer: Accounting Officer |
C/O AVON PRODUCTS, INC., 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105-0196 |
| Scott J. Mackenzie |
officer: Chief Strategy Officer |
135 RENNELL DRIVE, 3RD FLOOR, FAIRFIELD CT 06890 |
| David Carl Anderson |
director, officer: Chief Executive Officer (CEO) |
135 RENNELL DRIVE, 3RD FLOOR, FAIRFIELD CT 06890 |
| Terence A. Burke |
officer: General Counsel |
590 PLANT ROAD, DRESDEN NY 14441 |
| C Clark Webb |
10 percent owner |
8214 WESTCHESTER DRIVE, SUITE 950, DALLAS TX 75225 |
| Rha Investments, Inc. |
10 percent owner |
8214 WESTCHESTER DRIVE, SUITE 950, DALLAS TX 75225 |
| 210 Capital, Llc |
10 percent owner |
8214 WESTCHESTER DRIVE, SUITE 950, DALLAS TX 75225 |
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