HeartCore Enterprises (HeartCore Enterprises) Predictability Rank

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What is HeartCore Enterprises Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

HeartCore Enterprises Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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HeartCore Enterprises (HeartCore Enterprises) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » HeartCore Enterprises Inc (NAS:HTCR) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

1-2-33, Higashigotanda, Shinagawa-ku, Tokyo, JPN

Website

https://www.heartcore.co.jp

HeartCore Enterprises Inc is a software development company. It provides software through two business units. The first business unit includes a customer experience management business that has been in existence for 12 years. The customer experience management platform includes marketing, sales, service and content management systems, as well as other tools and integrations, that enable companies to attract and engage customers throughout the customer experience. It also provides education, services and support to help customers be successful with CXM Platform.

Executives

Keisuke Kuno	officer: CX Division Vice President	2-10-1 HORINOUCHI, HACHIOJI-SHI, TOKYO M0 192-0355
Kimio Hosaka	director, officer: Chief Operating Officer	2-16-2-312 OSHIAGE, SUMIDA-KU, TOKYO M0 131-0045
Sumitaka Yamamoto	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman,CEO & President	848 JORDAN AVE. #G, LOS ALTOS CA 94022
Ferdinand Groenewald	director	C/O MUSCLE MAKER, INC,, 2200 SPACE PARK DRIVE,SUITE 310, HOUSTON TX 77058
Qizhi Gao	officer: Chief Financial Officer	1-8-17-302, SHITTE, TSURUMI-KU, YOKOHAMA-SHI, KANAGAWA M0 230-0003
Hidekazu Miyata	officer: Chief Technical Officer	4-6-6-1106, KONAN, MINATO-KU, TOKYO M0 108-0075
Yuta Katai	director	1-14-604 SUIDOUCHO,SHINJYUKU-KU, TOKYO M0 162-0811
Takeshi Omoto	director	1-16-5 HIG A SHIG A OK A , MEGURO-KU, TOKYO M0 152-0021
Yoshitomo Yamano	director	3-12-22-301, SENDAGAYA, SHIBUYA-KU, TOKYO M0 151-0051
Yuki Tan	director	2-14-8, AZAMINOMINAMI, AOBA-KU, YOKOHAMA-SHI, KANGAWA M0 225-0012