INRE (Inland Real Estateome Trust) Predictability Rank

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What is Inland Real Estateome Trust Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Inland Real Estateome Trust Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Inland Real Estateome Trust Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Inland Real Estate Income Trust Inc (OTCPK:INRE) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

2901 Butterfield Road, Oak Brook, IL, USA, 60523

Website

https://www.inland-investments.com

Inland Real Estate Income Trust Inc is a real estate investment trust formed to acquire a portfolio of commercial real estate properties in the United States. The Company has one reportable segment which includes retail real estate. The company acquires retail properties, office buildings, multi-family properties, industrial and distribution, and warehouse facilities. The revenue from the Company's properties consists of rents received under long-term operating leases.

Executives

Stephen L Davis	director	2901 BUTTERFIELD ROAD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Lee A Daniels	director	2901 BUTTERFIELD ROAD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Gwen Henry	director	2901 BUTTERFIELD ROAD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Bernard J Michael	director	2901 BUTTERFIELD ROAD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Daniel Zatloukal	officer: Senior Vice President	2901 BUTTERFIELD ROAD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Judith Fu	officer: Vice President	2901 BUTTERFIELD ROAD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Mitchell A Sabshon	officer: Chief Executive Officer	2901 BUTTERFIELD ROAD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Catherine L Lynch	officer: Chief Fiancial Officer	2901 BUTTERFIELD ROAD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Daniel L Goodwin	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman	2901 BUTTERFIELD RD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
David Z Lichterman	officer: Treasurer and CAO	2901 BUTTERFIELD ROAD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Brenda G Gujral	director, officer: Chairman of the Board	INLAND AMERICAN REAL ESTATE TRUST, INC, 2901 BUTTERFIELD ROAD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Roberta S Matlin	officer: Vice President	2901 BUTTERFIELD ROAD, OAK BROOK IL 60181
Jack Potts	officer: Treasurer	2901 BUTTERFIELD ROAD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Joann M Armenta	director, officer: President	2907 BUTTERFIELD ROAD, 3RD FLOOR, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Cathleen M Hrtanek	officer: Secretary	2901 BUTTERFIELD ROAD, OAK BROOK IL 60523