GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » Kallo Inc (OTCPK:KALO) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Kallo (KALO) Predictability Rank


View and export this data going back to 2007. Start your Free Trial

What is Kallo Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Kallo Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Kallo Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Kallo's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Kallo Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » Kallo Inc (OTCPK:KALO) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
CBDS INQR PAXH PEARQ VYND MDXL MOSTQ HITC KERN NHIQ GEHC VEEV TSE:2413 RCM TXG DOCS HQY ASX:PME TDOC PGNY
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
255 Duncan Mills Road, Suite 504, Toronto, ON, CAN, M3B 3H9
Website
http://www.kalloinc.ca
Kallo Inc is focused on developing customized health care solutions designed to improve or enhance the delivery of care.
Executives
Lloyd A Chiotti director, 10 percent owner, officer: Executive Vice President 954404 7TH LINE EHS, MONO A6 L9W 6G1
Rajni Kassett 10 percent owner 67 SIMMS DRIVE, AJAX A6 L1T3K1
Fe Pharmacy Inc. 10 percent owner 97 KING STREET EAST, OSHAWA A6 LQH 1B8
Vince Leitao director, 10 percent owner, officer: President & COO 150 REGENT STREET, RICHMOND HILL A6 L4C 9N9
Cecil John Thiagaraj Rajarathnam director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman, CEO, CFO 410 - 168 BONIS AVENUE, SCARBOROUGH A6 M1T 3V6
Kallo Inc. 10 percent owner 255 DUNCAN MILLS ROAD, SUITE 504, TORONTO A6 M3B 3H9
Samuel Baker director, officer: Secretary 255 DUNCAN MILL ROAD, SUITE 504, TORONTO A6 M3B 3H9
Vinod Gandhi director, officer: Treasurer, CFO 924 MOHAWK ROAD WEST, HAMILTON A6 L9C 6Z3
Mary Kricfalusi director, 10 percent owner, officer: Secretary 186 MAURICE DRIVE, OAKVILLE A6 L6K 2W9
John C Dow director, 10 percent owner, officer: CFO 261 PENN DRIVE, BURLINGTON A6 L7N 2B9
Herb Adams director, 10 percent owner, officer: President 636 MOHAWK ROAD EAST, HAMILTON A6 L8V 2K1

Kallo Headlines

No Headlines