Pioneer Municipal Highome Opportunities Fund (Pioneer Municipal Highome Opportunities Fund) Predictability Rank

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What is Pioneer Municipal Highome Opportunities Fund Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Pioneer Municipal Highome Opportunities Fund Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Pioneer Municipal Highome Opportunities Fund (Pioneer Municipal Highome Opportunities Fund) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » Pioneer Municipal High Income Opportunities Fund Inc. (NYSE:MIO) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

60 State Street, Boston, MA, USA, 02109

Website

https://www.amundi.com

Pioneer Municipal High Income Opportunities Fund Inc. is a diversified, closed-end management investment company. The Fund's primary investment objective is to provide holders of the Fund's common stock with a high level of current income exempt from regular federal income tax.

Executives

Yana Karalnik	officer: CHIEF COMPLIANCE OFFICER	60 STATE STREET, BOSTON MA 02109
Marguerite A Piret	other: Trustee	C/O NEWBURY PIRET AND CO., 200 STATE STREET 12TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02109
Koenig Anthony J Jr	officer: Treasurer	60 STATE STREET, BOSTON MA 02109
Michael Melnick	officer: Assistant Treasurer	60 STATE STREET, BOSTON MA 02109
David Eurkus	other: Affiliated Person	PIONEER INVESTMENTS, 60 STATE STREET, BOSTON MA 02109
Jonathan Chirunga	other: Affiliated Person	60 STATE STREET, BOSTON MA 02109
Craig C Mackay	other: Trustee	75 WEST 125TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10027
Christopher J Kelley	officer: Secretary	C/O PIONEER INVESTMENT, 60 STATE ST, BOSTON MA 01109-1820
Luis I Presutti	officer: Assistant Treasurer
Gary Sullivan	officer: Assistant Treasurer	60 STAT STREET, C/OPIONEER INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC, BOSTON MA 02109
Amundi Asset Management Us, Inc.	other: Investment Adviser	60 STATE STREET, 5TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02109
Thomas J Perna	other: Trustee	89 ROBBINS AVENUE, BERKELEY HEIGHTS NJ 07922
Benjamin M Friedman	other: Trustee	C/O HARVARD UNIVERSITY, CAMBRIDGE MA 02138
Thomas J Reyes	officer: Assistant Secretary	60 STATE STREET, 13TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02109
Kenneth Taubes	other: Trustee