N2OFF (NITO) Predictability Rank

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What is N2OFF Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

N2OFF Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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N2OFF Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Agriculture » N2OFF Inc (NAS:NITO) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

HaPardes 134 Meshek Sander, Neve Yarak, ISR, 4994500

Website

https://www.n2off.com

N2OFF Inc is a pioneering agri-food tech company dedicated to developing sustainable solutions for the plant-based food industry. Operating through two subsidiaries, it delivers integrated solutions for enhanced safety, quality, and sustainability from field to fork.

Executives

Yaaran Investments Ltd.	10 percent owner	HARSIT 7 ST., SHEARY -TIKVA L3 4481000
Roy Borochov	director	52 HATEENA, KFAR BEN NUN L3 9978000
Plantify Foods, Inc.	10 percent owner	2264 EAST 11TH AVENUE, VANCOUVER A1 V5N1Z6
Udi Ovadia Kalifi	director	UZIEL 101, RAMAT GAN L3 5234433
Lital Barda	officer: Chief Financial Officer	DAVID MEIR GUTMAN 11, PETAH TIKVA L3 4934116
Neta Matis	officer: COO of the Issuer's Subsidiary	DAVID HAMELECH 11, HOD HASHARON L3 4523403
Omri Kanterovich	officer: Interim CFO	YUVAL NEEMAN 7, TEL AVIV L3 6967183
Mia Jacqueline Serra	officer: Chief Marketing Officer	HARAV KOSOVSKY 34, TEL AVIV L3 6291062
Eliahou Arbib	director	ARLOZOROV 25, RAMAT GAN L3 5248141
David Palach	officer: Co-Chief Executive Officer	EVEN GVIROL 1, RISHON LEZION L3 7548101
Amitay Weiss	director	HA'AZTMAUT 41, PETAH TIKVA L3 4937941
Ronen Rosenbloom	director	NISSIM ALONI 4, TEL AVIV L3 6291918
Israel Yakov Berenstein	director	SHEVET LEVI 13, PETAH TIKVA L3 4930092
Joachim Fuchs	director	HAZOREA 67, KFAR SHMARYAHU L3 4691000
Doron Shorrer	director	KOREH HADOROT 33, JERUSALEM L3 9339348