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OCTO (Eightco Holdings) Predictability Rank


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What is Eightco Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Eightco Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Eightco Holdings Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Eightco Holdings Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Packaging & Containers » Eightco Holdings Inc (NAS:OCTO) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
DSS MGIH IP SW AMCR PKG BALL AVY CCK TSX:CCL.A XSWX:SIGN GPK SLGN SEE REYN SON OHEL:HUH1V SZSE:002812 XPAR:VRLA XMAD:VID
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
101 Larry Holmes Drive, Suite 313, Easton, Safety Harbor, PA, USA, 18042
Website
https://www.8co.holdings
Eightco Holdings Inc operates in Forever 8 Inventory Cash Flow Solution. The company is a dynamic technology-focused company committed to driving growth and innovation through strategic acquisitions and management. Forever 8 focuses on purchasing inventory for e-commerce retailers and is part of its Inventory Solution Business.
Executives
Brian Mcfadden director, officer: President and CEO 855 BAYWAY BLVD, CLEARWATER BEACH FL 33767
Louis Foreman director 520 ELLIOT STREET, CHARLOTTE NC 28202
Frank D Jennings director 1739 SAILMAKER STREET, CHARLESTON SC 29492
Vroman Brett Earl James officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O EDISON NATION, INC., 909 NEW BRUNSWICK AVENUE, PHILLIPSBURG NJ 08865
Kevin J O'donnell director, officer: Chairman 91 OAKLEIGH LANE, MAITLAND FL 32751
Vinco Ventures, Inc. 10 percent owner C/O INCORP SERVICES, 3773 HOWARD HUGHES PKWY. STE 500S, LAS VEGAS NV 89169
Mary Ann Halford director 12 BRIARBROOK DRIVE, BRIARCLIFF MANOR NY 10510