PHASQ (PhaseBio Pharmaceuticals) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2018. Start your Free Trial

What is PhaseBio Pharmaceuticals Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

PhaseBio Pharmaceuticals Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

PhaseBio Pharmaceuticals Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of PhaseBio Pharmaceuticals's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

PhaseBio Pharmaceuticals Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » PhaseBio Pharmaceuticals Inc (OTCPK:PHASQ) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

1 Great Valley Parkway, Suite 30, Malvern, PA, USA, 19355

Website

https://www.phasebio.com

PhaseBio Pharmaceuticals Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on the development and commercialization of novel therapies to treat orphan diseases, with an initial focus on cardiopulmonary indications. The lead product candidate of the company is PB2452, which is a novel reversal agent for the antiplatelet drug ticagrelor, used for the treatment of patients experiencing major bleeding or those who require urgent surgery. It is also developing PB1046 which is a fusion protein for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension. The company is also developing its preclinical product candidate, PB6440, for treatment-resistant hypertension.

Executives

New Enterprise Associates 13 Lp	10 percent owner	1119 ST PAUL STREET, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Glen Burkhardt	officer: VP, Human Resources	C/O PHASEBIO PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 1 GREAT VALLEY PKWY.,SUITE 30, MALVERN PA 19355
Jonathan Birchall	officer: Chief Commercial Officer	C/O PHASEBIO PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 1 GREAT VALLEY PARKWAY, SUITE 30, MALVERN PA 19355
William D. Humphries	director	C/O STRATA SKIN SCIENCES, INC., 5 WALNUT GROVE DRIVE SUITE 140, HORSHAM PA 19044
Clay Thorp	director	C/O HATTERAS VENTURE PARTNERS III, LP, 280 S. MANGUM ST., SUITE 350, DURHAM NC 27701
Nancy J Hutson	director	64 MONTAUK AVENUE, STONINGTON CT 06378
Edmund Harrigan	director	C/O ACADIA PHARMACEUTICALS INC., 12830 EL CAMINO REAL, SUITE 400, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Caroline M Loewy	director	300 ELLIOTT AVE WEST, SUITE 500, SEATTLE WA 98119-4114
Van Den Broek Richard	director	73 ARCH STREET, 1ST FLOOR, GREENWICH CT 06830
Peter Justin Klein	director	5425 WISCONSIN AVE, CHEVY CHASE MD 20815
David James Ballance	officer: VP, Research and Sci. Affairs	C/O PHASEBIO PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 1 GREAT VALLEY PKWY., SUITE 30, MALVERN PA 19355
Michael York	officer: VP, Corporate Development	C/O PHASEBIO PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 1 GREAT VALLEY PKWY., SUITE 30, MALVERN PA 19355
John Sang Lee	officer: Chief Medical Officer	C/O PHASEBIO PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 1 GREAT VALLEY PKWY., SUITE 30, MALVERN PA 19355
Susan Elizabeth Arnold	officer: VP, Preclinical and Chem	C/O PHASEBIO PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 1 GREAT VALLEY DRIVE, SUITE 30, MALVERN PA 19355
Kristopher Hanson	officer: VP, Head of Legal	C/O PHASEBIO PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 1 GREAT VALLEY PKWY., SUITE 30, MALVERN PA 19355