Pervasip (Pervasip) Predictability Rank

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What is Pervasip Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Pervasip Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Pervasip (Pervasip) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Media - Diversified » Pervasip Corp (OTCPK:PVSP) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

1917 1st Avenue, Suite 400, Seattle, WA, USA, 98101

Website

http://www.canalytix.com

Pervasip Corp principal activities of Company are consulting, IP licensing, management, staffing, leasing, and support services. It is a diversified asset management company that was founded to acquire, develop, and support companies and technologies in the emerging cannabis industry. It also, own the rights to a cannabis brand.

Executives

Kevin Kreisler	other: Officer of subsidiary	P.O. BOX 284, MT. ARLINGTON NJ 07856
Flux Carbon Corp	10 percent owner	5950 SHILOH ROAD EAST, SUITE N, ALPHARETTA GA 30005
Scott Robert Widham	director	BROADWING CORPORATION, 1122 CAPITAL OF TEXAS HIGHWAY SOUTH, AUSTIN TX 78746
Cherian Mathai	director	2-01 50TH STREET, APARTMENT 4 C, LONG ISLAND CITY NY 11101
S Miller Williams	director	C/O WILLBROS USA INC, 4400 POST OAK PARKWAY SUITE 1000, HOUSTON TX 77027
Gayle L Greer	director	P O BOX 840 STE 300, DENVER CO 80201
Michael H Khalilian	director, officer: Chief Technology Officer	478 E. ALTAMONTE DRIVE, SUITE 108-480, ALTAMONTE SPRINGS FL 32701
Mark Richards	other: President of subsidiary	118 CELEBRATION BLVD., CELEBRATION FL 34747
Greg M Cooper	director
Paul H Riss	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer, other: Chief Financial Officer
Joel Dupre	director	C/O CORDIA CORP, 445 HAMILTON AVENUE, SUITE 408, WHITE PLAINS NY 10601

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