Tri-Mode System (M) Bhd (XKLS:0199) Predictability Rank


XKLS:0199 Tri-Mode System (M) Bhd XKLS:0199
41 GF Score
Price RM0.16
GF Value RM0.26
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Tri-Mode System (M) Bhd Predictability Rank?

1 (5)

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Tri-Mode System (M) Bhd Predictability Rank Related Terms

XKLS:0199
41GF Score
Tri-Mode System (M) Bhd XKLS:0199
Predictability Rank is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Tri-Mode System (M) Bhd Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Is Tri-Mode System (M) Bhd (XKLS:0199) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tri-Mode System (M) Bhd stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of RM0.16 is trading 40.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of RM0.26. GuruFocus considers Tri-Mode System (M) Bhd to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for XKLS:0199:

  • Predictability Rank:
  • GF Value™: RM0.26 vs. price of RM0.16 (40.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 41/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XKLS:0199 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Tri-Mode System (M) Bhd Business Description

Address No.1 (Lot 48), Jalan Sungai, Chandong 24/KS11, Wisma Tri-Mode, Taman Perindustrian Pulau Indah (Fasa 3), Pulau Indah, SGR, MYS, 42920
Tri-Mode System (M) Bhd is an integrated logistics service provider & has six segments. Sea freight segment organizes shipments for customers & overseas freight forwarded & manage bookings for cargo space for sea shipments; Container haulage segment provides land transportation services; Air freight segment plans & manages booking of cargo space for customer's air shipments; Freights forwarding segment manages document preparation, customs clearance, airlines & container haulage division for transportation of cargoes; Warehousing segment provides services such as general storage, consolidation & deconsolidation, transshipment of cargoes & inventory management services; & Marine insurance segment provide insurance service on cargoes by group. The key revenue is from the Sea freight segment.
41GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XKLS:0199

Predictability Rank is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

RM0.16
Price
RM0.26
GF Value