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FUBO (FuboTV) Predictability Rank


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What is FuboTV Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


FuboTV Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

FuboTV Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of FuboTV's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


FuboTV Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1290 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY, USA, 10104
FuboTV Inc is a sports-first, live TV streaming company offering subscribers access to tens of thousands of live sporting events annually as well as news and entertainment content. Its platform, FuboTV, allows customers to access content through streaming devices and on SmartTVs, mobile phones, tablets, and computers. It offers subscribers a live TV streaming service with the option to purchase incremental features available for purchase that include additional content or enhanced functionality suited to their preferences. The company has one operating segment, the streaming business. Geographically, the company generates a majority of its revenue from the United States and also has a presence in other markets.
Executives
John Janedis officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O FUBOTV INC., 1330 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10019
Alberto Horihuela officer: Chief Marketing Officer 1330 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
David Gandler director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1330 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Julie Haddon director C/O COLOSSEUM ACQUISITION, 190 ELGIN AVE, GEORGE TOWN, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-9008
Comcast Corp 10 percent owner ONE COMCAST CENTER, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103-2838
Edgar Jr Bronfman director 390 PARK AVE 4TH FLR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Daniel V Leff director 300 HAMILTON AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94301
John C Textor director, officer: Chief Executive Officer WYNDCREST HOLDINGS, LLC, 150 SOUTH US HIGHWAY ONE, SUITE 500, JUPITER FL 33477
Laura Diane Onopchenko director 1330 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Ignacio Figueras director 1330 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Henry Ahn director 1330 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Fbnk Finance S.a R.l. 10 percent owner 1 COTE D'EICH, LUXEMBOURG N4 L-1450
Par-jorgen Parson director 5-9 UNION SQUARE WEST, 3RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Tfcf America, Inc other: See footnote (1)(2) 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521
Discovery, Inc. 10 percent owner 230 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, NEW YORK NY 10003