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Entegris Predictability Rank

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2.5 (5)

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Competitive Comparison

For the Semiconductor Equipment & Materials subindustry, Entegris's Predictability Rank, along with its competitors' market caps and Predictability Rank data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Entegris Predictability Rank Distribution

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, Entegris's Predictability Rank distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Entegris's Predictability Rank falls into.

Entegris Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Entegris Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Entegris's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Entegris Business Description

Entegris logo
Technology » Semiconductors NAICS : 334413 SIC : 3674
Traded in Other Exchanges
129 Concord Road, Billerica, MA, USA, 01821
Entegris Inc is a supplier of advanced materials and process solutions for the semiconductor and other high-technology industries. The company's reportable segments include Specialty Chemicals & Engineered Materials (SCEM), Microcontamination Control (MC), and Advanced Materials Handling (AMH). The SCEM segment provides high-performance & high-purity process chemistries, gases, & materials, and safe & efficient delivery systems. The Microcontamination Control (MC) segment includes solutions to purify critical liquid chemistries and process gases used in semiconductor manufacturing processes and other high-technology industries. Its geographical segments are Taiwan, North America, South Korea, Japan, China, Europe, and Southeast.
Loy Bertrand director, officer: President & CEO C/O ENTEGRIS, INC. 129 CONCORD RD BILLERICA MA 01821
Sullivan Brian F. director 16305 36TH AVENUE N MINNEAPOLIS MN 55446
Haris Clinton M. officer: SVP & GM, MC Division C/O ENTEGRIS, INC. 129 CONCORD ROAD BILLERICA MA 01821
Edlund Todd James officer: EVP & COO 129 CONCORD ROAD BILLERICA MA 01821
Shaner William James officer: SVP & GM, AMH 129 CONCORD ROAD BILLERICA MA 01821
Burns Robert Nicholas director C/O ENTEGRIS, INC. 129 CONCORD ROAD BILLERICA MA 01821
Bradley Michael A director 8 BARNSTABLE ROAD WEST NEWTON MA 02465
Rucci Corey officer: SVP, Business Development 700 DOVER PLACE SOUTHLAKE TX 76092
Lederer James P director 5775 MOREHOUSE DRIVE SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Colella Joseph officer: SVP and General Counsel 129 CONCORD ROAD BILLERICA MA 01821
Gentilcore James director NINE HAMPSHIRE STREET MANSFIELD MA 02048
Saleki-gerhardt Azita director 1 N. WAUKEGAN ROAD NORTH CHICAGO IL 60064
Graves Gregory B officer: EVP & CFO 129 CONCORD ROAD BILLERICA MA 01821

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