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Zoom Video Communications Predictability Rank


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Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Competitive Comparison

For the Software - Application subindustry, Zoom Video Communications's Predictability Rank, along with its competitors' market caps and Predictability Rank data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Zoom Video Communications Predictability Rank Distribution

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Zoom Video Communications's Predictability Rank distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Zoom Video Communications's Predictability Rank falls into.



Zoom Video Communications Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Zoom Video Communications Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Zoom Video Communications's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Zoom Video Communications Business Description

Zoom Video Communications logo
Industry
Technology » Software NAICS : 511210 SIC : 7372
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
55 Almaden Boulevard, 6th Floor, San Jose, CA, USA, 95113
Zoom Video Communications provides a communications platform that connects people through video, voice, chat, and content sharing. The company's cloud-native platform enables face-to-face video and connects users across various devices and locations in a single meeting. Zoom, which was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in San Jose, California, serves companies of all sizes from all industries around the world.
Executives
Bawa Aparna officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O ZOOM VIDEO COMMUNICATIONS, INC. 55 ALMADEN BOULEVARD, 6TH FLOOR SAN JOSE CA 95113
Pelosi Janine officer: Chief Marketing Officer C/O ZOOM VIDEO COMMUNICATIONS, INC. 55 ALMADEN BOULEVARD, 6TH FLOOR SAN JOSE CA 95113
Hammonds Kimberly director 100 EAST DAVIE STREET RALEIGH NC 27601
Crehan Shane officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O EVENTBRITE, INC. 155 5TH STREET, 7TH FLOOR SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Yuan Eric S. director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O ZOOM VIDEO COMMUNICATIONS, INC. 55 ALMADEN BOULEVARD, 6TH FLOOR SAN JOSE CA 95113
Mcmaster Herbert Raymond director C/O ZOOM VIDEO COMMUNICATIONS, INC. 55 ALMADEN BOULEVARD, 6TH FLOOR SAN JOSE CA 95113
Steckelberg Kelly officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O ZOOM VIDEO COMMUNICATIONS, INC. 55 ALMADEN BOULEVARD, 6TH FLOOR SAN JOSE CA 95113
Gassner Peter P director C/O VEEVA SYSTEMS INC. 4280 HACIENDA DRIVE PLEASANTON CA 94588
Chadwick Jonathan director 3401 HILLVIEW AVENUE PALO ALTO CA 94304
Azus Ryan officer: Chief Revenue Officer C/O ZOOM VIDEO COMMUNICATIONS, INC. 55 ALMADEN BOULEVARD, 6TH FLOOR SAN JOSE CA 95113
Swanson Bart director C/O ZOOM VIDEO COMMUNICATIONS, INC. 55 ALMADEN BOULEVARD, 6TH FLOOR SAN JOSE CA 95113
Benhorin Roy officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O ZOOM VIDEO COMMUNICATIONS, INC. 55 ALMADEN BOULEVARD, 6TH FLOOR SAN JOSE CA 95113
Sankarlingam Velchamy officer: Pres. of Engineering & Product C/O ZOOM VIDEO COMMUNICATIONS, INC. 55 ALMADEN BOULEVARD, 6TH FLOOR SAN JOSE CA 95113
Subotovsky Santiago director C/O EMERGENCE CAPITAL PARTNERS 160 BOVENT ROAD SUITE 300 SAN MATEO CA 94402
Emergence Equity Partners Iii, L.p. 10 percent owner 160 BOVET ROAD, SUITE 300 SAN MATEO CA 94402

Zoom Video Communications Headlines

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