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Altice USA Predictability Rank

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Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Altice USA Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Altice USA Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Altice USA's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Altice USA Business Description

Altice USA logo
Traded in Other Exchanges
1 Court Square West, Long Island City, New York, NY, USA, 11101
Altice Europe acquired privately held U.S. cable company Suddenlink in 2015 and Cablevision in 2016. Suddenlink's networks provided television, internet access, and phone services to roughly 3.5 million U.S. homes and businesses located primarily in smaller markets, with major clusters in Texas, West Virginia, Idaho, Arizona, and Louisiana. Cablevision provided comparable services to about 5.5 million homes and business in the New York City metro area. Altice Europe spun off Altice USA, which includes both the Suddenlink and Cablevision operations, to shareholders in 2018. Altice USA also owns News 12 Networks, which broadcasts local 24-hour news networks in New York, i24News, a news operation focused on the Middle East and Israel, and Cheddar, a news upstart.
Next Alt S.a.r.l. director, 10 percent owner 5, RUE EUGENE RUPPERT GRAND DUCHY OF LUXEMBOURG N4 L-2453
Drahi Patrick director, 10 percent owner WIESTISTRASSE 14 ZERMATT V8 3920
Boubazine Abdelhakim officer: President & COO 1111 STEWART AVENUE BETHPAGE NY 11714
Schmidt Colleen officer: EVP Human Resources 1 COURT SQUARE W LONG ISLAND CITY NY 11101
Olsen Michael officer: EVP, Gen. Counsel & Secy 1 COURT SQUARE W LONG ISLAND CITY NY 11101
Taki Layth officer: Chief Accounting Officer 1 COURT SQUARE WEST LONG ISLAND CITY NY 11101
Grau Michael officer: Chief Financial Officer 1 COURT SQUARE W LONG ISLAND CITY NY 11101
Goei Dexter director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1111 STEWART AVENUE BETHPAGE NY 11714
Stewart Charles director 1111 STEWART AVENUE BETHPAGE NY 11714
Bakker Gerrit Jan director 15 RUE PIERRE FATIO 6TH FLOOR GENEVA V8 1204
Mullen Mark director 1111 STEWART AVENUE BETHPAGE NY 11714
Okhuijsen Dennis director 1111 STEWART AVENUE BETHPAGE NY 11714
Connolly David other: Former EVP & General Counsel 1111 STEWART AVENUE BETHPAGE NY 11714
Cie Management Ix Ltd 10 percent owner HERITAGE HALL LE MARCHANT STREET ST. PETER PORT Y7 GY14HY

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