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MI Technovation Bhd (XKLS:5286) Predictability Rank


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What is MI Technovation Bhd Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

MI Technovation Bhd Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

MI Technovation Bhd Predictability Rank Related Terms

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MI Technovation Bhd (XKLS:5286) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Semiconductors » MI Technovation Bhd (XKLS:5286) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
XKLS:5302 XKLS:0146 XKLS:0090 XKLS:7765 XKLS:5277 XKLS:0181 XKLS:0120 XKLS:0113 XKLS:4359 XKLS:7204 XAMS:ASML AMAT LRCX KLAC TSE:8035 SHSE:601012 XAMS:ASM TSE:6146 TSE:6857 SZSE:002371
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 20, Medan Bayan Lepas Technoplex, MK 12, Taman Perindustrian Bayan Lepas, Bayan Lepas, PNG, MYS, 11900
Website
https://www.mi-eq.com
MI Technovation Bhd is an investment holding company. The group is involved in design, development, manufacture, and sale of wafer level chip scale packaging sorting machines with inspection and testing capabilities for the semiconductor industry. Its reportable segments are as follows: 1) Semiconductor equipment business unit is Involved in the manufacturing and sales of the semiconductor manufacturing equipment, paired with smart factory automation solutions for Industrial 4.0, together with the provision of maintenance services and technical support for these machines, as well as the sale of related spare parts and components. 2) Semiconductor material business unit is involved in the manufacturing and sales of solder spheres. 3) Others includes investment holding and other activities.

MI Technovation Bhd (XKLS:5286) Headlines

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