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BCO (The Brink's Co) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 26.45% (As of Mar. 2025)


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What is The Brink's Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. The Brink's Co's forward rate of return for was 26.45%.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Brink's Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

BCO' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -14.07   Med: 15.21   Max: 28.61
Current: 26.59

During the past 13 years, The Brink's Co's highest Forward Rate of Return was 28.61. The lowest was -14.07. And the median was 15.21.

BCO's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
87.68% of 641 companies
in the Business Services industry
Industry Median: 12.07 vs BCO: 26.59

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


The Brink's Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Brink's Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Brink's Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

The Brink's Co Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.80 17.46 29.29 27.47 27.23

The Brink's Co Quarterly Data
Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 26.49 25.62 24.93 27.23 26.45

Competitive Comparison of The Brink's Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, The Brink's Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Brink's Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, The Brink's Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Brink's Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


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The Brink's Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

The Brink's Co's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2025 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=5.55619048/86.16+0.2
=26.45 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


The Brink's Co  (NYSE:BCO) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


The Brink's Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of The Brink's Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


The Brink's Co Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1801 Bayberry Court, P.O. Box 18100, Richmond, VA, USA, 23226-8100
The Brink's Co is a provider of secure logistics and security solutions for cash and other valuables. Its segments include: North America segment includes operations in the U.S. and Canada, including the Brink's Global Services (BGS) line of business; Latin America segment consists operations in Latin American countries where it has an ownership interest, including the BGS line of business; Europe segment includes total operations in European countries that provide services outside of the BGS line of business; and Rest of World segment consists operations in the Middle East, Africa and Asia. It also includes total operations in European countries that provides BGS services and BGS activity in Latin American countries. It derives maximum revenue from North America segment.
Executives
Michael J Herling director 177 BROAD STREET, 15TH FLOOR, STAMFORD CT 06901
James K Parks officer: SVP 555 DIVIDEND DRIVE, COPPELL TX 75019
Keith R Wyche director 1801 BAYBERRY COURT, PO BOX 18100, RICHMOND VA 23226
Dominik Bossart officer: SVP 1800 BAYBERRY COURT, PO BOX 18100, RICHMOND VA 23226
Arthelbert Louis Parker director THE BRINK'S COMPANY, 1801 BAYBERRY CT, 4TH FL, PO BOX 18100, RICHMOND VA 23226
Elizabeth A Galloway officer: EVP and CHRO AT HOME GROUP INC., 1600 EAST PLANO PARKWAY, PLANO TX 75074
Michael F Beech officer: Executive Vice President THE BRINK'S COMPANY, 1801 BAYBERRY COURT, 4TH FLOOR, RICHMOND VA 23226
Kurt B Mcmaken officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer THE BRINK'S COMANY, 1801 BAYBERRY COURT, PO BOX 18100, RICHMOND VA 23226
Simon Davis officer: SVP, CHRO 5757 N GREEN BAY AVE, MILWAUKEE WI 53209
Daniel J Castillo officer: EVP 2645 SILVER CRESCENT DRIVE, CHARLOTTE NC 28273
Susan E Docherty director THE BRINK'S COMPANY, 1801 BAYBERRY COURT, 4TH FLOOR, RICHMOND VA 23226
Kathie J. Andrade director 6300 LAMAR AVENUE, OVERLAND PARK KS 66202
Rohan Pal officer: EVP, Chief Information Officer 1801 BAYBERRY COURT, RICHMOND VA 23226
Michael E Sweeney officer: Controller C/O LIQUIDITY SERVICES, INC., 1920 L STREET, N.W., 6TH FLOOR, WASHINGTON DC 20036
Timothy Joseph Tynan director 1801 BAYBERRY COURT, PO BOX 18100, RICHMOND VA 23226