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Crimson Wine GroupCWGL +0.80%56 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.73% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus rates CWGL with a GF Score™ of 56/100 and a GF Value™ of $5.84 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 164 Beverages - Alcoholic companies, Crimson Wine Group ranks worse than 54.27% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Crimson Wine Group's forward rate of return for was 6.73%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Crimson Wine Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
CWGL'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -40.03 Med: -2.35 Max: 21.02
Current: 6.82
During the past 13 years, Crimson Wine Group's highest Forward Rate of Return was 21.02. The lowest was -40.03. And the median was -2.35.
CWGL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than 54.27% of 164
companies
in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry
Industry Median: 9.755
vs CWGL: 6.82
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Crimson Wine Group (OTCPK:CWGL) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Crimson Wine Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Crimson Wine Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
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The historical data trend for Crimson Wine Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Crimson Wine Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
CWGL vs EPSM, WVVI, AMSS: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, Crimson Wine Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Crimson Wine Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Beverages - Alcoholic Industry
For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Crimson Wine Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Crimson Wine Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Crimson Wine Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 6.73% mean?
Crimson Wine Group (CWGL) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 6.73% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Crimson Wine Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Crimson Wine Group ranks #89 out of 164 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, placing it in the top 54.3%.
Is Crimson Wine Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Crimson Wine Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.73%. The Beverages - Alcoholic industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.76. Crimson Wine Group's value of 6.73% is 31% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Crimson Wine Group ranks #89 out of 164 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Crimson Wine Group has a GF Score™ of 56/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Crimson Wine Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to EPSM and WVVI?
According to the Beverages - Alcoholic industry distribution chart, Crimson Wine Group ranks #89 out of 164 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Crimson Wine Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.76. Crimson Wine Group's value of 6.73% is 31% below this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Beverages - Alcoholic company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Beverages - Alcoholic companies is 9.76, based on 164 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Crimson Wine Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 6.73% is 31% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Crimson Wine Group and its competitors. For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.76 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Crimson Wine Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.73%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Crimson Wine Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Crimson Wine Group (CWGL) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $5.84, compared to a current price of $4.26 — trading 27.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.73% and 31% below the Beverages - Alcoholic industry median of 9.76. Crimson Wine Group's overall GF Score™ is 56/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Crimson Wine Group (CWGL), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.73% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Crimson Wine Group (CWGL) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Crimson Wine Group stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $4.26 is trading 27.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of $5.84.
GuruFocus considers Crimson Wine Group to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for CWGL:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 6.73%
GF Value™: $5.84 vs. price of $4.26 (27.1% below fair value)
Industry Position: 31% below the Beverages - Alcoholic median (#89 of 164)
No single metric tells the full story. See the CWGL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Crimson Wine Group Ltd is engaged in the business of producing and selling luxury wines. Its operating segments are Wholesale net sales and direct-to-consumer and others. It generates revenues from sales of wine to wholesalers and directs to consumers, sales of bulk wine and grapes, custom winemaking services, special event fees, tasting fees, and retail sales. The company's wineries include wine brands of Pine Ridge Vineyards, Archery Summit, Chamisal Vineyards, Seghesio Family Vineyards, Double Canyon, Seven Hills Winery, and Malene Wines.
56GF Score
Get the complete analysis for CWGL
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