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Compuware (FRA:CWR) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : -16.90% (As of Sep. 2014)


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What is Compuware Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Compuware's forward rate of return for was -16.90%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Compuware's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:CWR' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -27.1   Med: 8   Max: 36.1
Current: -16.96

During the past 13 years, Compuware's highest Forward Rate of Return was 36.10. The lowest was -27.10. And the median was 8.00.

FRA:CWR's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked
in the Software industry.
Industry Median: 13.32 vs FRA:CWR: -16.96

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Compuware Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Compuware's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Compuware Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Compuware Annual Data
Trend Mar05 Mar06 Mar07 Mar08 Mar09 Mar10 Mar11 Mar12 Mar13 Mar14
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 31.51 18.95 10.25 -4.58 -13.98

Compuware Quarterly Data
Dec09 Mar10 Jun10 Sep10 Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -9.45 -11.71 -13.98 -15.89 -16.90

Competitive Comparison of Compuware's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Software - Application subindustry, Compuware's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Compuware's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Compuware's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Compuware's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Compuware Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Compuware's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2014 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.29447619/8.162+-0.2028
=-16.67 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Compuware  (FRA:CWR) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Compuware Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Compuware's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Compuware (FRA:CWR) Business Description

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Compuware Corp a Michigan corporation was incorporated in 1973. The Company delivers services and software that enable its customers' important technologies to perform at their peak. It delivers the solutions through software that is installed and run on its customers' owned hardware and applications and through a Software as a Service ('SaaS') model accessed via its hosted networks. It has six business segments: Application Performance Managemen (APM), Mainframe, Changepoint, Uniface, Professional Services and Covisint Application Services ('Covisint'). Its Compuware Application Performance Management ('Compuware APM') consists of its solutions for optimizing the performance of web, non-web, mobile, streaming and cloud applications. Its Mainframe Software Products improve the productivity of development, maintenance and support teams in application analysis, testing, defect detection and remediation, fault management, file and data management, data compliance and application performance management in the IBM z/OS environment. Its Changepoint software combines professional services automation with project portfolio management capabilities to give customers complete visibility into projects, investments and resources for informed business planning and financial control. Its Uniface solution is Compuware's Rapid Application Development environment for building, renewing and integrating some of the complex enterprise applications. Its Covisint application services provide a cloud engagement platform for enabling organizations to securely connect, engage and collaborate with large, distributed communities of customers, business partners and suppliers. Its products and services are used by the IT departments and lines of business of a of commercial and government organizations. Its competitors include BMC Software Inc., CA, Inc., International Business Machines ('IBM'), Hewlett-Packard Company, Keynote Systems, Inc., Accenture, Computer Sciences Corporation, HP Enterprise Services, Analysts International Corporation and Infosys Technologies.

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