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Glimcher Realty Trust (FRA:GRY) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : -26.46% (As of Sep. 2014)


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What is Glimcher Realty Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Glimcher Realty Trust's forward rate of return for was -26.46%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Glimcher Realty Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:GRY' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -40.2   Med: -11.9   Max: 1.6
Current: -26.27

During the past 13 years, Glimcher Realty Trust's highest Forward Rate of Return was 1.60. The lowest was -40.20. And the median was -11.90.

FRA:GRY's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked
in the REITs industry.
Industry Median: 8.06 vs FRA:GRY: -26.27

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Glimcher Realty Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Glimcher Realty Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Glimcher Realty Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Glimcher Realty Trust Annual Data
Trend Dec04 Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -6.52 -10.24 -32.19 -34.99 -37.93

Glimcher Realty Trust Quarterly Data
Sep09 Dec09 Mar10 Jun10 Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -40.14 -37.93 -35.02 -31.56 -26.46

Competitive Comparison of Glimcher Realty Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the REIT - Retail subindustry, Glimcher Realty Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Glimcher Realty Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Glimcher Realty Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Glimcher Realty Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Glimcher Realty Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Glimcher Realty Trust's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2014 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year Book Value Growth Rate
=0.30742857/10.15+-0.431
=-40.07 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Glimcher Realty Trust  (FRA:GRY) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Glimcher Realty Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Glimcher Realty Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Glimcher Realty Trust (FRA:GRY) Business Description

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Glimcher Realty Trust is a self-administered and self-managed Maryland real estate investment trust which was formed on September 1, 1993. The Company and its affiliates are engaged in owning, leasing, acquiring, developing and operating a portfolio of retail properties consisting of regional and super regional malls and community shopping centers. At December 31, 2013, the Company owned material interests in and managed 28 properties - 25 wholly-owned and 3 partially owned through joint ventures which are located in 15 states. The Properties contain an aggregate of approximately 19.3 million square feet of gross leasable area of which approximately 95.6% was occupied at December 31, 2013. The Malls provide a range of shopping alternatives to serve the needs of customers in all market segments. The Company's Malls are in various formats such as enclosed regional malls, open-air retail centers, and outlet centers. Malls are generally anchored by multiple department stores such as Belk's, The Bon-Ton, Boscov's, Dick's Sporting Goods, Dillard's, Elder-Beerman, Herberger's, JCPenney, Kohl's, Macy's, Saks, Sears, and Von Maur. Mall stores, most of which are national retailers, include Abercrombie & Fitch, American Eagle Outfitters, Apple, Bath & Body Works, Express, Finish Line, Foot Locker, Forever 21, H&M, Hallmark, Kay Jewelers, The Limited, lululemon athletica, Pacific Sunwear, and Victoria's Secret. The Malls also have additional restaurants and retail businesses, such as Benihana, Cheesecake Factory, P.F. Chang's, and Red Lobster, located along the perimeter of the parking areas. The Company's Community Centers are designed to attract local and regional area customers and are typically anchored by a combination of discount department stores or supermarkets which attract shoppers to each center's smaller shops. The tenants at the Company's Community Centers typically offer day-to-day necessities and value-oriented merchandise. Many of the Community Centers have retail businesses or restaurants located along the perimeter of the parking areas. There are numerous shopping facilities that compete with the Company's Properties in attracting retailers to lease space.

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