What is ViroPharma, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. ViroPharma,'s forward rate of return for was 7.94%.
The historical rank and industry rank for ViroPharma,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
FRA:VPH's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Biotechnology industry.
Industry Median: 10.76 * Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
ViroPharma, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
The historical data trend for ViroPharma,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
* Premium members only.
ViroPharma, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
Competitive Comparison of ViroPharma,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
For the Biotechnology subindustry, ViroPharma,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
ViroPharma,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry
For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, ViroPharma,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where ViroPharma,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
ViroPharma, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
ViroPharma,'s Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2013 is
Forward Rate of Return
=
Normalized Free Cash Flow
/
Price
+
5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=
0.95314286
/
28.657
+
0.2
=
23.33 %
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
ViroPharma, (FRA:VPH) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
ViroPharma, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of ViroPharma,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
ViroPharma, Inc. was incorporated in Delaware in September 1994 and commenced operations in December 1994. It is a biotechnology company which develops and commercializes products that address serious diseases, used by physician specialists or in hospital settings. The Company's main development programs include C1 esterase inhibitor and a non-toxigenic strain of C. The Company markets and sells Cinryze in the United States for routine prophylaxis against angioedema attacks in adolescent and adult patients with hereditary angioedema. Cinryze is a C1 esterase inhibitor therapy for routine prophylaxis against HAE, also known as C1 inhibitor deficiency, a rare, severely debilitating, life-threatening genetic disorder. Cinryze was obtained in October 2008, and On 8 January 2010, the company obtained expanded rights to commercialize Cinryze and future C1-INH derived products in certain European countries and other territories throughout the world as well as rights to develop future C1-INH derived products for additional indications. The Company also markets and sells Vancocin HCl capsules, the oral capsule formulation of vancomycin hydrochloride, in the U.S. and its territories. Vancocin is a potent antibiotic approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, or FDA, to treat antibiotic-associated pseudomembranous colitis caused by Clostridium difficile infection, or C. difficile, and enterocolitis caused by Staphylococcus aureus, including methicillin-resistant strains. The Company's product development portfolio is consists of programs such as C1 esterase inhibitor [human], maribavir for cytomegalovirus infection, VP20621: prevention of recurrent CDAD and VP20629: treatment of Friedreich's Ataxia. The Company is working on developing further therapeutic uses; potential additional indications in other C1 mediated diseases, and alternative modes of administration for C1 esterase inhibitor. It is also developing VP20621 for the treatment and prevention of CDAD. On September 30, 2011, it entered into a license agreement for the worldwide rights of Intellect Neurosciences, Inc. to its clinical stage drug candidate, VP-20629, which is a naturally occurring, small molecule that has potent anti-oxidant properties that can protect against neurodegenerative disease. Its main competitors include both public and private entities, including well-known, large pharmaceutical companies, chemical companies, biotechnology companies and research institutions.
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