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U.S. BancorpMEX:USB 64 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 18.67% as of Mar. 2026, which is 19% above its 10-year median of 15.74. GuruFocus rates MEX:USB with a GF Score™ of 64/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN839.87 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,411 Banks companies, U.S. Bancorp ranks better than 52.94% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. U.S. Bancorp's forward rate of return for was 18.67%.
The historical rank and industry rank for U.S. Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
MEX:USB'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 11.92 Med: 15.74 Max: 23.4
Current: 16.02
During the past 13 years, U.S. Bancorp's highest Forward Rate of Return was 23.40. The lowest was 11.92. And the median was 15.74.
MEX:USB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than 52.94% of 1411
companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 15.4
vs MEX:USB: 16.02
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
U.S. Bancorp (MEX:USB) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
U.S. Bancorp Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
U.S. Bancorp Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for U.S. Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
U.S. Bancorp Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
MEX:USB vs PNC, NU, TFC: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Banks - Regional subindustry, U.S. Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
U.S. Bancorp Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Banks Industry
For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, U.S. Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where U.S. Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
U.S. Bancorp Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
U.S. Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2026 is
Forward Rate of Return
=
Normalized Free Cash Flow
/
Price
+
5-Year Book Value Growth Rate
=
141.79409524
/
1065
+
0.0296
=
16.27 %
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 18.67% mean?
U.S. Bancorp (MEX:USB) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 18.67% as of Mar. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on U.S. Bancorp and its competitors. This is 19% above median its historical median of 15.74. Over the past decade, U.S. Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 11.92 to 23.40. According to the industry distribution chart, U.S. Bancorp ranks #664 out of 1411 companies in the Banks industry, placing it in the top 47.1%.
Is U.S. Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
U.S. Bancorp's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 18.67% is 19% above median its 10-year median of 15.74. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 11.92 to a high of 23.40. The Banks industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.40. U.S. Bancorp's value of 18.67% is 21.2% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, U.S. Bancorp ranks #664 out of 1411 companies in the Banks industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, U.S. Bancorp has a GF Score™ of 64/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does U.S. Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to PNC and NU?
According to the Banks industry distribution chart, U.S. Bancorp ranks #664 out of 1411 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts U.S. Bancorp in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.40. U.S. Bancorp's value of 18.67% is 21.2% above this benchmark. Historically, U.S. Bancorp's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 11.92 to 23.40 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 15.74 vs. the industry median of 15.40, U.S. Bancorp has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Banks company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Banks companies is 15.40, based on 1,411 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. U.S. Bancorp's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 18.67% is 21.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on U.S. Bancorp and its competitors. For the Banks industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.40 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. U.S. Bancorp's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 18.67%, which is 19% above median its own 10-year median of 15.74. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is U.S. Bancorp stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, U.S. Bancorp (MEX:USB) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN839.87, compared to a current price of MXN1,112.67 — trading 32.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 18.67%, which is 19% above median its 10-year median of 15.74 and 21.2% above the Banks industry median of 15.40. U.S. Bancorp's overall GF Score™ is 64/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For U.S. Bancorp (MEX:USB), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 18.67% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is U.S. Bancorp (MEX:USB) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, U.S. Bancorp stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of MXN1,112.67 is trading 32.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN839.87.
GuruFocus considers U.S. Bancorp to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for MEX:USB:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 18.67% (19% above median its 10-year median of 15.74)
GF Value™: MXN839.87 vs. price of MXN1,112.67 (32.5% above fair value)
Industry Position: 21.2% above the Banks median (#664 of 1411)
No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:USB stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
With assets of around $700 billion, U.S. Bancorp is one of the largest regional banks in the US with its footprint in 26 states. The bank's branch network is mostly in Midwestern and Western markets. U.S. Bancorp has a comprehensive product set, with offerings in retail and commercial banking, credit cards, mortgages, payment services, trust, wealth, and capital market services.
64GF Score
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