NIPKF (NIKKON Holdings Co) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 9.81% (As of Mar. 2026) — 89% Above Median

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NIPKF NIKKON Holdings Co Ltd NIPKF
76 GF Score
Price $9.41
GF Value $4.30
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is NIKKON Holdings Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

NIKKON Holdings Co NIPKF 76 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.81% as of Mar. 2026, which is 89% above its 10-year median of 5.18. GuruFocus rates NIPKF with a GF Score™ of 76/100 and a GF Value™ of $4.30. The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 755 Transportation companies, NIKKON Holdings Co ranks worse than 52.05% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. NIKKON Holdings Co's forward rate of return for was 9.81%.

The historical rank and industry rank for NIKKON Holdings Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

NIPKF' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.05   Med: 5.18   Max: 16.75
Current: 9.67

During the past 13 years, NIKKON Holdings Co's highest Forward Rate of Return was 16.75. The lowest was 1.05. And the median was 5.18.

NIPKF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
52.05% of 755 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 10.63 vs NIPKF: 9.67

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


NIKKON Holdings Co  (OTCPK:NIPKF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


NIKKON Holdings Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


NIKKON Holdings Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for NIKKON Holdings Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

NIKKON Holdings Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

NIKKON Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.05 4.77 4.88 5.32 9.81

NIKKON Holdings Co Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.81 0.00

NIPKF vs UPS, FDX, JBHT: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, NIKKON Holdings Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NIKKON Holdings Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, NIKKON Holdings Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NIKKON Holdings Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


NIPKF
76GF Score
NIKKON Holdings Co Ltd NIPKF
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

NIKKON Holdings Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

NIKKON Holdings Co's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.1705/9.405+0.0107
=2.88 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 9.81% mean?
NIKKON Holdings Co (NIPKF) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 9.81% as of Mar. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on NIKKON Holdings Co and its competitors. This is 89% above median its historical median of 5.18. Over the past decade, NIKKON Holdings Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 1.05 to 16.75. According to the industry distribution chart, NIKKON Holdings Co ranks #393 out of 755 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 52.1%.
Is NIKKON Holdings Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
NIKKON Holdings Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 9.81% is 89% above median its 10-year median of 5.18. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.05 to a high of 16.75. The Transportation industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.63. NIKKON Holdings Co's value of 9.81% is 7.7% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, NIKKON Holdings Co ranks #393 out of 755 companies in the Transportation industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, NIKKON Holdings Co has a GF Score™ of 76/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does NIKKON Holdings Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to UPS and FDX?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, NIKKON Holdings Co ranks #393 out of 755 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places NIKKON Holdings Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.63. NIKKON Holdings Co's value of 9.81% is 7.7% below this benchmark. Historically, NIKKON Holdings Co's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 1.05 to 16.75 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 5.18 vs. the industry median of 10.63, NIKKON Holdings Co has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Transportation company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Transportation companies is 10.63, based on 755 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. NIKKON Holdings Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 9.81% is 7.7% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on NIKKON Holdings Co and its competitors. For the Transportation industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.63 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. NIKKON Holdings Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.81%, which is 89% above median its own 10-year median of 5.18. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is NIKKON Holdings Co stock overvalued right now?
NIKKON Holdings Co (NIPKF) has a current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 9.81%. The stock's GF Value™ is $4.30, compared to a current price of $9.41 — trading 118.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.81%, which is 89% above median its 10-year median of 5.18 and 7.7% below the Transportation industry median of 10.63. NIKKON Holdings Co's overall GF Score™ is 76/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For NIKKON Holdings Co (NIPKF), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.81% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is NIKKON Holdings Co (NIPKF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, NIKKON Holdings Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $9.41 is trading 118.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of $4.30.

Key valuation signals for NIPKF:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 9.81% (89% above median its 10-year median of 5.18)
  • GF Value™: $4.30 vs. price of $9.41 (118.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 76/100 with 1 warning sign
  • Industry Position: 7.7% below the Transportation median (#393 of 755)

No single metric tells the full story. See the NIPKF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


NIKKON Holdings Co Business Description

Other Exchanges 9072:Japan1CM:Germany
Address 6-17 Akashicho, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, JPN
NIKKON Holdings Co Ltd is engaged in the logistics services business through four reportable segments: Transportation, Warehousing, Packaging, and Testing. The Transportation segment handles the delivery of completed four-wheel and two-wheel vehicles, auto parts, housing equipment, and agricultural machinery. The Warehousing segment stores similar types of goods, while the Packaging segment manages distribution processing, delivery, and export packaging of auto parts. The Testing segment is responsible for testing completed vehicles and equipment.
76GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NIPKF

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$9.41
Price
$4.30
GF Value