RACE (Ferrari NV) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 18.88% (As of Jun. 2026) — 21% Above Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

RACE Ferrari NV RACE
96 GF Score
Price $393.87
GF Value $506.37
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Ferrari NV Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Ferrari NV RACE -0.97% 96 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 18.88% as of Jun. 2026, which is 21% above its 10-year median of 15.54. GuruFocus rates RACE with a GF Score™ of 96/100 and a GF Value™ of $506.37 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 988 Vehicles & Parts companies, Ferrari NV ranks better than 71.15% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Ferrari NV's forward rate of return for was 18.88%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ferrari NV's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

RACE' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 10.27   Med: 15.54   Max: 21.73
Current: 18.8

During the past 13 years, Ferrari NV's highest Forward Rate of Return was 21.73. The lowest was 10.27. And the median was 15.54.

RACE's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
71.15% of 988 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 10.315 vs RACE: 18.80

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Ferrari NV  (NYSE:RACE) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Ferrari NV Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Ferrari NV Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Ferrari NV's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Ferrari NV Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Ferrari NV Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 10.27 12.62 16.89 20.80 21.49

Ferrari NV Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 20.95 21.10 21.49 20.57 18.88

RACE vs TSLA, GM, F: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, Ferrari NV's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ferrari NV Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Ferrari NV's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ferrari NV's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


RACE
96GF Score
Ferrari NV RACE
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Ferrari NV Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Ferrari NV's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=5.90457143/372.29+0.1681
=18.40 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 18.88% mean?
Ferrari NV (RACE) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 18.88% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Ferrari NV and its competitors. This is 21% above median its historical median of 15.54. Over the past decade, Ferrari NV's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 10.27 to 21.73. According to the industry distribution chart, Ferrari NV ranks #285 out of 988 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, placing it in the top 28.8%.
Is Ferrari NV's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Ferrari NV's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 18.88% is 21% above median its 10-year median of 15.54. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 10.27 to a high of 21.73. The Vehicles & Parts industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.32. Ferrari NV's value of 18.88% is 83% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Ferrari NV ranks #285 out of 988 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Ferrari NV has a GF Score™ of 96/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ferrari NV's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to TSLA and GM?
According to the Vehicles & Parts industry distribution chart, Ferrari NV ranks #285 out of 988 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts Ferrari NV in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.32. Ferrari NV's value of 18.88% is 83% above this benchmark. Historically, Ferrari NV's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 10.27 to 21.73 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 15.54 vs. the industry median of 10.32, Ferrari NV has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Vehicles & Parts company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Vehicles & Parts companies is 10.32, based on 988 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Ferrari NV's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 18.88% is 83% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Ferrari NV and its competitors. For the Vehicles & Parts industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.32 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Ferrari NV's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 18.88%, which is 21% above median its own 10-year median of 15.54. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ferrari NV stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ferrari NV (RACE) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $506.37, compared to a current price of $393.87 — trading 22.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 18.88%, which is 21% above median its 10-year median of 15.54 and 83% above the Vehicles & Parts industry median of 10.32. Ferrari NV's overall GF Score™ is 96/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ferrari NV (RACE), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 18.88% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Ferrari NV (RACE) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ferrari NV stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $393.87 is trading 22.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of $506.37. GuruFocus considers Ferrari NV to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for RACE:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 18.88% (21% above median its 10-year median of 15.54)
  • GF Value™: $506.37 vs. price of $393.87 (22.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 96/100 with 2 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 83% above the Vehicles & Parts median (#285 of 988)

No single metric tells the full story. See the RACE stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Ferrari NV Business Description

Address Via Abetone Inferiore n. 4, Maranello, ITA, I-41053
Ferrari designs, engineers, and manufactures some of the world's most expensive luxury cars. With supply carefully controlled to be below demand and a brand steeped in decades of motor racing history, a Ferrari is viewed as a status symbol. In 2025, the company sold 13,640 vehicles at an average price over EUR 520,000 with more than 80% of its vehicles being sold to existing Ferrari clients. Eighty-four percent of revenue is generated from the sale of cars and spare parts and 10% from sponsorship, commercial, and brand activities including racing and lifestyle activities. In 2025, the Europe, Middle East, and Africa region accounted for 49% of revenue, the Americas was 32%, mainland China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan was 7%, and the rest of Asia was 12%.
96GF Score

Get the complete analysis for RACE

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$393.87
Price
$506.37
GF Value