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Molson Coors Beverage Co (Molson Coors Beverage Co) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 2.52% (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Molson Coors Beverage Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Molson Coors Beverage Co's forward rate of return for was 2.52%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Molson Coors Beverage Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

TAP' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -18.02   Med: 9.56   Max: 33.65
Current: 4.97

During the past 13 years, Molson Coors Beverage Co's highest Forward Rate of Return was 33.65. The lowest was -18.02. And the median was 9.56.

TAP's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
60.12% of 163 companies
in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry
Industry Median: 8.44 vs TAP: 4.97

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Molson Coors Beverage Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Molson Coors Beverage Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Molson Coors Beverage Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Molson Coors Beverage Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 29.36 8.95 -16.22 -5.27 -1.41

Molson Coors Beverage Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -7.59 -8.14 -6.13 -1.41 2.52

Competitive Comparison of Molson Coors Beverage Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, Molson Coors Beverage Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Molson Coors Beverage Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Molson Coors Beverage Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Molson Coors Beverage Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Molson Coors Beverage Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Molson Coors Beverage Co's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2024 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=4.84952381/67.25+-0.0469
=2.52 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Molson Coors Beverage Co  (NYSE:TAP) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Molson Coors Beverage Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Molson Coors Beverage Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Molson Coors Beverage Co (Molson Coors Beverage Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
NH353, P.O. Box 4030, Golden, CO, USA, 80401
Molson Coors owns well-known beer brands including Miller, Coors, Blue Moon, and Carling, and ranks as the second largest beer maker in both value and volume terms in the U.S., Canada, and the United Kingdom. Through licensing agreements, it also brews and distributes beer and hard seltzer under partner brands from Heineken, Anheuser-Busch InBev, Asahi, and Coca-Cola. The company uses independent distributors in the U.S. given the three-tier distribution requirements, while using a combination of distributors and an in-house sales team in Canada and Europe. North America remains its largest market contributing over 80% of total revenue.
Executives
Winnefeld James A Jr director 870 WINTER STREET, WALTHAM MA 02451
Natalie G. Maciolek officer: Chief Legal & Govt Affairs Off 3939 W HIGHLAND BLVD, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
Geoffrey E. Molson director 1801 CALIFORNIA STREET, SUITE 4600, DENVER CO 80202
Williams Leroy James Jr director 10 LONGS PEAK DRIVE, BROOMFIELD CO 80021-2510
Anne-marie W D'angelo officer: Chief Legal & Govt Affairs Off 801 E. 86TH AVENUE, MERRILLVILLE IN 46410
Louis Vachon director 1155 METCALFE STREET, MONTREAL QUEBEC CANADA E6 0000
Julia M Brown director C/O ABLE BRANDS CO., 30 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
Simon Cox officer: Pres&CEO, Molson Coors Europe 1801 CALIFORNIA STREET, SUITE 4600, DENVER CO 80202
Roxanne Stelter officer: VP,Controller & Chf Acct Off 3939 W HIGHLAND BLVD, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
Andrew Thomas Molson director 1801 CALIFORNIA STREET, SUITE 4600, DENVER CO 80202
David S. Coors director P.O. BOX 4030, NH353, GOLDEN CO 80401
Nessa O'sullivan director P.O. BOX 4030, NH353, GOLDEN CO 80401
Peter H Coors director, other: Chairman of the Board 1801 CALIFORNIA STREET, SUITE 4600, DENVER CO 80202
Peter John Marino officer: President of Emerging Growth 250 SOUTH WACKER DRIVE, CHICAGO IL 60606
Jacques Michelle St. officer: Chief Marketing Officer 250 SOUTH WACKER DRIVE, CHICAGO IL 60606