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Molson Coors Beverage CoTAP -0.93%57 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $103.61 as of Sep. 10, 2026. GuruFocus rates TAP with a GF Score™ of 57/100 and a GF Value™ of $56.96 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 155 Beverages - Alcoholic companies, Molson Coors Beverage Co ranks better than 90.32% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
The historical rank and industry rank for Molson Coors Beverage Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
TAP'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.26 Med: 0.51 Max: 1.62
Current: 0.37
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Molson Coors Beverage Co was 1.62. The lowest was 0.26. And the median was 0.51.
TAP's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than 90.32% of 155
companies
in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry
Industry Median: 0.97
vs TAP: 0.37
Molson Coors Beverage Co (NYSE:TAP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Molson Coors Beverage Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
38.48
/
103.60875115491
=
0.37
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Molson Coors Beverage Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Molson Coors Beverage Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
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The historical data trend for Molson Coors Beverage Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Molson Coors Beverage Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart
TAP vs SAM, STZ: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, Molson Coors Beverage Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Molson Coors Beverage Co Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Beverages - Alcoholic Industry
For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Molson Coors Beverage Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Molson Coors Beverage Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Molson Coors Beverage Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $103.61 mean?
Molson Coors Beverage Co (TAP) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $103.61 as of Sep. 10, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Molson Coors Beverage Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Molson Coors Beverage Co ranks #15 out of 155 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, placing it in the top 9.7%.
Is Molson Coors Beverage Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Molson Coors Beverage Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $103.61. The Beverages - Alcoholic industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.97. Molson Coors Beverage Co's value of $103.61 is 10581.4% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Molson Coors Beverage Co ranks #15 out of 155 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Molson Coors Beverage Co has a GF Score™ of 57/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Molson Coors Beverage Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to SAM and STZ?
According to the Beverages - Alcoholic industry distribution chart, Molson Coors Beverage Co ranks #15 out of 155 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Molson Coors Beverage Co in the top 10% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.97. Molson Coors Beverage Co's value of $103.61 is 10581.4% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Beverages - Alcoholic company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Beverages - Alcoholic companies is 0.97, based on 155 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Molson Coors Beverage Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $103.61 is 10581.4% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Molson Coors Beverage Co and its competitors. For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.97 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Molson Coors Beverage Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $103.61. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Molson Coors Beverage Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Molson Coors Beverage Co (TAP) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $56.96, compared to a current price of $38.48 — trading 32.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $103.61 and 10581.4% above the Beverages - Alcoholic industry median of 0.97. Molson Coors Beverage Co's overall GF Score™ is 57/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Molson Coors Beverage Co (TAP), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $103.61 as of Sep. 10, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Molson Coors Beverage Co (TAP) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Molson Coors Beverage Co stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $38.48 is trading 32.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of $56.96.
GuruFocus considers Molson Coors Beverage Co to be Possible Value Trap.
Key valuation signals for TAP:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $103.61
GF Value™: $56.96 vs. price of $38.48 (32.4% below fair value)
Industry Position: 10581.4% above the Beverages - Alcoholic median (#15 of 155)
No single metric tells the full story. See the TAP stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Molson Coors owns well-known beer brands including Miller, Coors, Blue Moon, and Carling, and ranks as the second-largest beer maker in both value and volume in the US, Canada, and the United Kingdom. Through licensing agreements, it also brews and distributes beer and nonbeer beverage categories under partner brands from Heineken, Anheuser-Busch InBev, Asahi, Fever-Tree, and Coca-Cola. North America remains its largest market, accounting for nearly 80% of total revenue.
57GF Score
Get the complete analysis for TAP
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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