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Molson Coors Beverage Co (Molson Coors Beverage Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $100.30 (As of Jun. 18, 2024)


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What is Molson Coors Beverage Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-18), Molson Coors Beverage Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $100.30. The stock price of Molson Coors Beverage Co is $50.20. Therefore, Molson Coors Beverage Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Molson Coors Beverage Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TAP' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.26   Med: 0.58   Max: 1.62
Current: 0.5

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Molson Coors Beverage Co was 1.62. The lowest was 0.26. And the median was 0.58.

TAP's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
89.03% of 155 companies
in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry
Industry Median: 1.23 vs TAP: 0.50

Molson Coors Beverage Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Molson Coors Beverage Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Molson Coors Beverage Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Molson Coors Beverage Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 121.49 119.80 118.98 100.36 105.03

Molson Coors Beverage Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 96.40 104.65 104.06 105.03 100.30

Competitive Comparison of Molson Coors Beverage Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, Molson Coors Beverage Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Molson Coors Beverage Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Molson Coors Beverage Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Molson Coors Beverage Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Molson Coors Beverage Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Molson Coors Beverage Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,154.19.

Molson Coors Beverage Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*1154.192+13120.1*0.8)/214.200
=100.30

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Molson Coors Beverage Co  (NYSE:TAP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Molson Coors Beverage Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=50.20/100.30062394608
=0.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Molson Coors Beverage Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Molson Coors Beverage Co (Molson Coors Beverage Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
NH353, P.O. Box 4030, Golden, CO, USA, 80401
Molson Coors owns well-known beer brands including Miller, Coors, Blue Moon, and Carling, and ranks as the second largest beer maker in both value and volume terms in the U.S., Canada, and the United Kingdom. Through licensing agreements, it also brews and distributes beer and hard seltzer under partner brands from Heineken, Anheuser-Busch InBev, Asahi, and Coca-Cola. The company uses independent distributors in the U.S. given the three-tier distribution requirements, while using a combination of distributors and an in-house sales team in Canada and Europe. North America remains its largest market contributing over 80% of total revenue.
Executives
Winnefeld James A Jr director 870 WINTER STREET, WALTHAM MA 02451
Natalie G. Maciolek officer: Chief Legal & Govt Affairs Off 3939 W HIGHLAND BLVD, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
Geoffrey E. Molson director 1801 CALIFORNIA STREET, SUITE 4600, DENVER CO 80202
Williams Leroy James Jr director 10 LONGS PEAK DRIVE, BROOMFIELD CO 80021-2510
Anne-marie W D'angelo officer: Chief Legal & Govt Affairs Off 801 E. 86TH AVENUE, MERRILLVILLE IN 46410
Louis Vachon director 1155 METCALFE STREET, MONTREAL QUEBEC CANADA E6 0000
Julia M Brown director C/O ABLE BRANDS CO., 30 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
Simon Cox officer: Pres&CEO, Molson Coors Europe 1801 CALIFORNIA STREET, SUITE 4600, DENVER CO 80202
Roxanne Stelter officer: VP,Controller & Chf Acct Off 3939 W HIGHLAND BLVD, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
Andrew Thomas Molson director 1801 CALIFORNIA STREET, SUITE 4600, DENVER CO 80202
David S. Coors director P.O. BOX 4030, NH353, GOLDEN CO 80401
Nessa O'sullivan director P.O. BOX 4030, NH353, GOLDEN CO 80401
Peter H Coors director, other: Chairman of the Board 1801 CALIFORNIA STREET, SUITE 4600, DENVER CO 80202
Peter John Marino officer: President of Emerging Growth 250 SOUTH WACKER DRIVE, CHICAGO IL 60606
Jacques Michelle St. officer: Chief Marketing Officer 250 SOUTH WACKER DRIVE, CHICAGO IL 60606