Aya Gold & Silver (TSX:AYA) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TSX:AYA Aya Gold & Silver Inc TSX:AYA
70 GF Score
Price C$27.54
GF Value C$70.61
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Aya Gold & Silver Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Aya Gold & Silver is: High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends.

Aya Gold & Silver  (TSX:AYA) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Aya Gold & Silver Risk Assessment Related Terms

TSX:AYA vs EXK: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Silver subindustry, Aya Gold & Silver's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Aya Gold & Silver Risk Assessment vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Aya Gold & Silver's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aya Gold & Silver's Risk Assessment falls into.


TSX:AYA
70GF Score
Aya Gold & Silver Inc TSX:AYA
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is Aya Gold & Silver (TSX:AYA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aya Gold & Silver stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of C$27.54 is trading 61% below its estimated GF Value™ of C$70.61. GuruFocus considers Aya Gold & Silver to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for TSX:AYA:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: C$70.61 vs. price of C$27.54 (61% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSX:AYA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Aya Gold & Silver Business Description

Other Exchanges AYA:USA0HE:Germany
Address 1320 Graham Boulevard, Suite 132, Mont-Royal, QC, CAN, H3P 3C8
Aya Gold & Silver Inc is a Canadian-based precious metals mining corporation active across the full mining life-cycle, from discovery and development through to production. It operates in Morocco. The company's flagship asset is the Zgounder Silver Mine, recognized for its rare, high-grade silver mineralization. The mine is located along the Anti-Atlas fault, one of North Africa's geologically rich and underexplored regions, known for hosting silver, gold, and base metal deposits. Aya also owns an 85% interest in the Boumadine polymetallic project, which is currently at the exploration and evaluation stage. It operates in single segment of mining industry and its products are precious metals ingots and concentrate which are refined or smelted into pure silver and sold to metal brokers.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSX:AYA

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

C$27.54
Price
C$70.61
GF Value