Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index, it shows how the price swings around its mean. The volatility here is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. In most cases, the higher the volatility, the riskier the security.
Aya Gold & Silver (TSX:AYA) Volatility Explanation
Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index. It’s often measured as standard deviation or variance of historical returns over a certain period. The volatility here is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year.
Volatility reflects the uncertainty or risk of a security’s value. Generally speaking, a higher volatility suggests a higher risk, because it implies a wider fluctuation around average price. This means the price of the security can change dramatically in either direction within a short period. Conversely, a lower volatility means that the security's price is more steady, which suggests a lower risk.
Another measurement of relative volatility is Beta. Beta is a measure of systematic risk of a security or a portfolio in comparison to the market as a whole. Beta is usually compared to 1. A beta of greater than 1 indicates that the security's price will be more volatile than the market.
Aya Gold & Silver Volatility Related Terms
TSX:AYA vs EXK: Volatility Comparison
For the Silver subindustry, Aya Gold & Silver's Volatility, along with its competitors' market caps and Volatility data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Aya Gold & Silver Volatility vs Metals & Mining Industry
For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Aya Gold & Silver's Volatility distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Aya Gold & Silver's Volatility falls into.
Aya Gold & Silver (TSX:AYA) Volatility Calculation
The annualized volatility is calculated as following:
σA
=
σM
*
√12
=
√ 1/(n-1) ∑(Ri - R')^2
*
√12
Where: σM is the monthly volatility, n is the number of months in the period, Ri is the security's historical monthly returns and R' is the arithmetic mean of monthly returns.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Aya Gold & Silver (TSX:AYA) has a Volatility of 58.80% as of Jun. 26, 2026. Volatility is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. View historical data on Aya Gold & Silver and its competitors.
Is Aya Gold & Silver's Volatility too high?
Aya Gold & Silver's current Volatility is 58.80%. Overall, Aya Gold & Silver has a GF Score™ of 80/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Aya Gold & Silver's Volatility compare to EXK?
Aya Gold & Silver's Volatility of 58.80% can be compared against companies in the Metals & Mining industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Volatility for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Volatility depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Volatility should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Volatility mean?
A high Volatility can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Volatility is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. View historical data on Aya Gold & Silver and its competitors. Aya Gold & Silver's current Volatility is 58.80%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Aya Gold & Silver stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aya Gold & Silver (TSX:AYA) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is C$68.00, compared to a current price of C$25.90 — trading 61.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Volatility is 58.80%. Aya Gold & Silver's overall GF Score™ is 80/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Volatility calculated?
Volatility is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Aya Gold & Silver (TSX:AYA), the current Volatility is 58.80% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Aya Gold & Silver (TSX:AYA) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aya Gold & Silver stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of C$25.90 is trading 61.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of C$68.00.
GuruFocus considers Aya Gold & Silver to be Possible Value Trap.
Key valuation signals for TSX:AYA:
Volatility: 58.80%
GF Value™: C$68.00 vs. price of C$25.90 (61.9% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the TSX:AYA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Aya Gold & Silver Inc is a Canadian-based precious metals mining corporation active across the full mining life-cycle, from discovery and development through to production. It operates in Morocco. The company's flagship asset is the Zgounder Silver Mine, recognized for its rare, high-grade silver mineralization. The mine is located along the Anti-Atlas fault, one of North Africa's geologically rich and underexplored regions, known for hosting silver, gold, and base metal deposits. Aya also owns an 85% interest in the Boumadine polymetallic project, which is currently at the exploration and evaluation stage. It operates in single segment of mining industry and its products are precious metals ingots and concentrate which are refined or smelted into pure silver and sold to metal brokers.
80GF Score
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