Vale (XMAD:XVALO) Shiller PE Ratio: 7.56 (As of Sep. 13, 2026) — 43% Below Median

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XMAD:XVALO Vale SA XMAD:XVALO
78 GF Score
Price €12.85
GF Value €11.04
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Vale Shiller PE Ratio?

Vale XMAD:XVALO -0.77% 78 Shiller PE Ratio is 7.56 as of Sep. 13, 2026, which is 43% below its 10-year median of 13.15. GuruFocus rates XMAD:XVALO with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of €11.04 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 418 Metals & Mining companies, Vale ranks better than 89.23% on this metric.

As of today (2026-09-13), Vale's current share price is €12.85. Vale's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was €1.70. Vale's Shiller PE Ratio for today is 7.56.

The historical rank and industry rank for Vale's Shiller PE Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

XMAD:XVALO' s Shiller PE Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.72   Med: 13.15   Max: 50.75
Current: 7.53

During the past years, Vale's highest Shiller PE Ratio was 50.75. The lowest was 3.72. And the median was 13.15.

XMAD:XVALO's Shiller PE Ratio is ranked better than
89.23% of 418 companies
in the Metals & Mining industry
Industry Median: 31.955 vs XMAD:XVALO: 7.53

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Vale's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was €0.278. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our E10, which is €1.70 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Vale  (XMAD:XVALO) Shiller PE Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PE Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller PE Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller PE Ratio should give similar results to regular PE Ratio.

Compared with the PS Ratio, the Shiller PE Ratio makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company's business model does not work in the future compared with the past, Shiller PE Ratio and PS Ratio will give false valuations.


Vale Shiller PE Ratio Related Terms


Vale Shiller PE Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Vale's Shiller PE Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Vale Shiller PE Ratio Chart

Vale Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Shiller PE Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 22.24 16.10 11.50 7.00 7.21

Vale Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Shiller PE Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.07 6.16 7.21 8.09 7.50

Vale Shiller PE Ratio Competitor Comparison

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, Vale's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vale Shiller PE Ratio vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Vale's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vale's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.


XMAD:XVALO
78GF Score
Vale SA XMAD:XVALO
Shiller PE Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Vale Shiller PE Ratio Calculation

For Shiller PE Ratio, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller PE Ratio is also called PE10.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Vale's Shiller PE Ratio for today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/ E10
=12.85/1.70
=7.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Vale's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Vale's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnings per Share (Diluted)/CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=0.278/177.5443*177.5443
=0.278

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 177.5443.

Vale Quarterly Data

Earnings per Share (Diluted) CPI Adj_EPS
201609 0.098 109.986 0.158
201612 0.095 110.802 0.152
201703 0.449 111.869 0.713
201706 0.000 112.115 0.000
201709 0.361 112.777 0.568
201712 0.127 114.068 0.198
201803 0.243 114.868 0.376
201806 0.009 117.038 0.014
201809 0.231 117.881 0.348
201812 0.642 118.340 0.963
201903 -0.283 120.124 -0.418
201906 -0.027 120.977 -0.040
201909 0.291 121.292 0.426
201912 -0.270 123.436 -0.388
202003 0.045 124.092 0.064
202006 0.169 123.557 0.243
202009 0.484 125.095 0.687
202012 0.115 129.012 0.158
202103 0.907 131.660 1.223
202106 1.237 133.871 1.641
202109 0.646 137.913 0.832
202112 0.982 141.992 1.228
202203 0.844 146.537 1.023
202206 1.249 149.784 1.480
202209 0.990 147.800 1.189
202212 0.784 150.207 0.927
202303 0.383 153.352 0.443
202306 0.185 154.519 0.213
202309 0.618 155.464 0.706
202312 0.514 157.148 0.581
202403 0.359 159.372 0.400
202406 0.604 161.052 0.666
202409 0.505 162.342 0.552
202412 -0.153 164.740 -0.165
202503 0.305 168.102 0.322
202506 0.433 169.670 0.453
202509 0.537 170.739 0.558
202512 -0.769 171.765 -0.795
202603 0.381 175.066 0.386
202606 0.278 177.544 0.278

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Shiller PE Ratio →
What does a Shiller PE Ratio of 7.56 mean?
Vale (XMAD:XVALO) has a Shiller PE Ratio of 7.56 as of Sep. 13, 2026. Shiller price-earnings ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted earnings over a 10-year period. View historical data on Vale and its competitors. This is 43% below median its historical median of 13.15. Over the past decade, Vale's Shiller PE Ratio has ranged from 3.72 to 50.75. According to the industry distribution chart, Vale ranks #45 out of 418 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 10.8%.
Is Vale's Shiller PE Ratio too high?
Vale's current Shiller PE Ratio of 7.56 is 43% below median its 10-year median of 13.15. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 3.72 to a high of 50.75. The Metals & Mining industry median Shiller PE Ratio is 31.96. Vale's value of 7.56 is 76.3% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Vale ranks #45 out of 418 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Vale has a GF Score™ of 78/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Vale's Shiller PE Ratio compare to competitors?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Vale ranks #45 out of 418 companies for Shiller PE Ratio. This places Vale in the top 11% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Shiller PE Ratio is 31.96. Vale's value of 7.56 is 76.3% below this benchmark. Historically, Vale's own Shiller PE Ratio has ranged from 3.72 to 50.75 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 13.15 vs. the industry median of 31.96, Vale has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Shiller PE Ratio for a Metals & Mining company?
The median Shiller PE Ratio among Metals & Mining companies is 31.96, based on 418 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Shiller PE Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Shiller PE Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Vale's current Shiller PE Ratio of 7.56 is 76.3% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Shiller PE Ratio mean?
A high Shiller PE Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Shiller price-earnings ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted earnings over a 10-year period. View historical data on Vale and its competitors. For the Metals & Mining industry, the median Shiller PE Ratio is 31.96 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Vale's current Shiller PE Ratio is 7.56, which is 43% below median its own 10-year median of 13.15. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Vale stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Vale (XMAD:XVALO) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €11.04, compared to a current price of €12.85 — trading 16.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Shiller PE Ratio is 7.56, which is 43% below median its 10-year median of 13.15 and 76.3% below the Metals & Mining industry median of 31.96. Vale's overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Shiller PE Ratio calculated?
Shiller PE Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Vale (XMAD:XVALO), the current Shiller PE Ratio is 7.56 as of Sep. 13, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Vale (XMAD:XVALO) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Vale stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €12.85 is trading 16.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of €11.04. GuruFocus considers Vale to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for XMAD:XVALO:

  • Shiller PE Ratio: 7.56 (43% below median its 10-year median of 13.15)
  • GF Value™: €11.04 vs. price of €12.85 (16.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 78/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 76.3% below the Metals & Mining median (#45 of 418)

No single metric tells the full story. See the XMAD:XVALO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Vale Business Description

Address Praia de Botafogo, 186, Rooms 1801 to 2001, Botafogo, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, BRA, 22250-145
Vale is a large global miner and the world's largest producer of iron ore and pellets. In recent years the company has sold noncore assets such as its fertilizer, coal, and steel operations to concentrate on iron ore, nickel, and copper. Earnings are dominated by its iron ore business. The base metals division is much smaller, consisting of nickel mines and smelters along with copper mines producing copper in concentrate. In 2024, Vale sold a minority 10% stake in its base metals business, likely the first step in separating base metals and iron ore.
78GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XMAD:XVALO

Shiller PE Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€12.85
Price
€11.04
GF Value