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Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index, it shows how the price swings around its mean. The volatility here is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. In most cases, the higher the volatility, the riskier the security.
China Tourism Group Duty Free (SHSE:601888) Volatility Explanation
Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index. It’s often measured as standard deviation or variance of historical returns over a certain period. The volatility here is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year.
Volatility reflects the uncertainty or risk of a security’s value. Generally speaking, a higher volatility suggests a higher risk, because it implies a wider fluctuation around average price. This means the price of the security can change dramatically in either direction within a short period. Conversely, a lower volatility means that the security's price is more steady, which suggests a lower risk.
Another measurement of relative volatility is Beta. Beta is a measure of systematic risk of a security or a portfolio in comparison to the market as a whole. Beta is usually compared to 1. A beta of greater than 1 indicates that the security's price will be more volatile than the market.
China Tourism Group Duty Free Volatility Related Terms
SHSE:601888 vs CASY, WSM, ULTA: Volatility Comparison
For the Specialty Retail subindustry, China Tourism Group Duty Free's Volatility, along with its competitors' market caps and Volatility data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
China Tourism Group Duty Free Volatility vs Retail - Cyclical Industry
For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, China Tourism Group Duty Free's Volatility distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where China Tourism Group Duty Free's Volatility falls into.
China Tourism Group Duty Free (SHSE:601888) Volatility Calculation
The annualized volatility is calculated as following:
σA
=
σM
*
√12
=
√ 1/(n-1) ∑(Ri - R')^2
*
√12
Where: σM is the monthly volatility, n is the number of months in the period, Ri is the security's historical monthly returns and R' is the arithmetic mean of monthly returns.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
China Tourism Group Duty Free (SHSE:601888) has a Volatility of 34.63% as of Aug. 15, 2026. Volatility is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. View historical data on China Tourism Group Duty Free and its competitors.
Is China Tourism Group Duty Free's Volatility too high?
China Tourism Group Duty Free's current Volatility is 34.63%. Overall, China Tourism Group Duty Free has a GF Score™ of 81/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does China Tourism Group Duty Free's Volatility compare to CASY and WSM?
China Tourism Group Duty Free's Volatility of 34.63% can be compared against companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Volatility for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Volatility depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Volatility should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Volatility mean?
A high Volatility can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Volatility is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. View historical data on China Tourism Group Duty Free and its competitors. China Tourism Group Duty Free's current Volatility is 34.63%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is China Tourism Group Duty Free stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Tourism Group Duty Free (SHSE:601888) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ¥68.42, compared to a current price of ¥54.06 — trading 21% below its estimated fair value. The current Volatility is 34.63%. China Tourism Group Duty Free's overall GF Score™ is 81/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Volatility calculated?
Volatility is calculated from a company's financial statements. For China Tourism Group Duty Free (SHSE:601888), the current Volatility is 34.63% as of Aug. 15, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is China Tourism Group Duty Free (SHSE:601888) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Tourism Group Duty Free stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of ¥54.06 is trading 21% below its estimated GF Value™ of ¥68.42.
GuruFocus considers China Tourism Group Duty Free to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for SHSE:601888:
Volatility: 34.63%
GF Value™: ¥68.42 vs. price of ¥54.06 (21% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the SHSE:601888 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Established in 1984, China Tourism Group Duty Free is China's largest and the world's second-largest travel retailer in 2025 with revenue of CNY 54 billion. The company primarily operates duty-free stores at airports, border crossings, offshore, downtown, and on flights, cruises and ships, with about 200 stores spanning over 33 provinces in China, as well as overseas. The company also operates a duty-paid business. Its 2025 revenue mix was 73% duty-free sales and 27% duty-paid sales and others. CTG Duty Free is 50% owned by China Tourism Group, a state-owned enterprise that falls directly under the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council.
81GF Score
Get the complete analysis for SHSE:601888
Volatility is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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