Carnival (FRA:CVC1) Altman Z2-Score : -0.34 (As of Dec. 13, 2024)

Carnival Altman Z2-Score Chart

Carnival Annual Data
	Trend	Nov14	Nov15	Nov16	Nov17	Nov18	Nov19	Nov20	Nov21	Nov22	Nov23
Altman Z2-Score		Get a 7-Day Free Trial					2.74	0.69	-0.33	-0.79	-0.37

Carnival Quarterly Data
	Nov19	Feb20	May20	Aug20	Nov20	Feb21	May21	Aug21	Nov21	Feb22	May22	Aug22	Nov22	Feb23	May23	Aug23	Nov23	Feb24	May24	Aug24
Altman Z2-Score	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-0.59	-0.37	-0.56	-0.72	-0.34

Competitive Comparison of Carnival's Altman Z2-Score

For the Travel Services subindustry, Carnival's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Carnival's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Carnival's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Carnival's Altman Z2-Score falls into.

Carnival Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Carnival's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Aug. 2024:
Total Assets was €45,173 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €3,289 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €11,124 Mil.
Retained Earnings was €1,631 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 1580.901 + 88.8 + -198.378 + -36.036 = €1,435 Mil.
Interest Expense was -390.917 + -416.25 + -436.617 + -430.584 = €-1,674 Mil.
Total Liabilities was €37,376 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Carnival has a Altman Z2-Score of -0.34 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Carnival  (FRA:CVC1) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.

Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.

Carnival Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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Carnival Business Description