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JM Smucker Co (JM Smucker Co) Altman Z2-Score : 0.85 (As of Apr. 24, 2024)


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What is JM Smucker Co Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

JM Smucker Co has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.85, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for JM Smucker Co's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SJM' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.85   Med: 1.87   Max: 3.14
Current: 0.85

During the past 13 years, JM Smucker Co's highest Altman Z2-Score was 3.14. The lowest was 0.85. And the median was 1.87.


JM Smucker Co Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for JM Smucker Co's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

JM Smucker Co Altman Z2-Score Chart

JM Smucker Co Annual Data
Trend Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.50 2.14 1.80 2.11 1.90

JM Smucker Co Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.34 1.90 1.74 2.59 0.85

Competitive Comparison of JM Smucker Co's Altman Z2-Score

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, JM Smucker Co's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


JM Smucker Co's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, JM Smucker Co's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where JM Smucker Co's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



JM Smucker Co Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

JM Smucker Co's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*-0.0268+3.26*0.1015+6.72*0.0102+1.05*0.5959
=0.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jan. 2024:
Total Assets was $20,247 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,924 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,467 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $2,055 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 195.5 + 249.4 + 238.4 + -678.6 = $5 Mil.
Interest Expense was -99.8 + -35.1 + -32.1 + -35.3 = $-202 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $12,687 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1924 - 2467.4)/20247.2
=-0.0268

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=2055/20247.2
=0.1015

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(4.6999999999999 - -202.3)/20247.2
=0.0102

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(7560.1 - 0)/12687.1
=0.5959

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

JM Smucker Co has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.85 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


JM Smucker Co  (NYSE:SJM) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


JM Smucker Co Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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JM Smucker Co (JM Smucker Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
One Strawberry Lane, Orrville, OH, USA, 44667-0280
J.M. Smucker is a packaged food company that primarily sells through the U.S. retail channel (77% of forecast fiscal 2024 revenue), with the remaining share consisting of Hostess, foodservice, and international (primarily Canada). Following the divestiture of several pet foods brands and private-label products that constituted about $1.5 billion of sales, retail coffee is now its largest category (33% of sales) with brands Folgers and Dunkin'. Pet foods (22% of sales) holds leading brands like Milk-Bone and Meow Mix. Of its remaining, approximately 22% comes from consumer foods, primarily peanut butter and jelly, through brands Jif and Smucker's. The company acquired Hostess Brands in fiscal 2024 to boost its snack and convenience store presence.
Executives
Tucker H Marshall officer: Chief Financial Officer ONE STRAWBERRY LANE, ORRVILLE OH 44667
Tarang Amin director C/O SCHIFF NUTRITION INTERNATIONAL, INC., 2002 SOUTH 5070 WEST, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84104
Amy C Held officer: Chief Strategy & Int'l Officer ONE STRAWBERRY LANE, ORRVILLE OH 44667
Mercedes Abramo director ONE STRAWBERRY LANE, ORRVILLE OH 44667
Richard K Smucker director, officer: President C/ WM WRIGLEY JR CO, 410 N MICHIGAN AVE, CHICAGO IL 60611
Mark T Smucker officer: Vice President
Jill R Penrose officer: Chief People & Admin Officer ONE STRAWBERRY LANE, ORRVILLE OH 44667
John P Brase officer: Chief Operating Officer ONE STRAWBERRY LANE, ORRVILLE OH 44667
Jeannette L Knudsen officer: Chief Legal & Compliance Offic ONE STRAWBERRY LANE, ORRVILLE OH 44667
Geoff E Tanner officer: Chief Marketing & Commercial ONE STRAWBERRY LANE, ORRVILLE OH 44667
Johnson Jonathan E Iii director 6322 S 300 S, STE 100, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84121
Nancy Lopez Knight director 2308 TARA DRIVE, ALBANY GA 31721
Jay L Henderson director 50 SOUTH LASALLE ST, CHICAGO IL 60603
Dawn C Willoughby director 1221 BROADWAY, OAKLAND CA 94612
Sandra Pianalto director 1000 EATON BOULEVARD, CLEVELAND OH 44122