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ALGGY (Alliance Global Group) Altman Z-Score : 1.25 (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is Alliance Global Group Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.26 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Alliance Global Group has a Altman Z-Score of 1.25, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alliance Global Group's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ALGGY' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.04   Med: 1.29   Max: 2.05
Current: 1.26

During the past 13 years, Alliance Global Group's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.05. The lowest was 1.04. And the median was 1.29.


Alliance Global Group Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alliance Global Group's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alliance Global Group Altman Z-Score Chart

Alliance Global Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.28 1.04 1.16 1.25 1.29

Alliance Global Group Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.31 1.29 1.27 1.26 1.27

Competitive Comparison of Alliance Global Group's Altman Z-Score

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Alliance Global Group's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alliance Global Group's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Alliance Global Group's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alliance Global Group's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Alliance Global Group Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Alliance Global Group's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2821+1.4*0.243+3.3*0.0612+0.6*0.1815+1.0*0.263
=1.25

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2024:
Total Assets was $13,946 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $6,671 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,738 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $3,389 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 142.117 + 148.383 + 143.717 + 222.185 = $656 Mil.
Interest Expense was -54.015 + -77.532 + -58.938 + -7.258 = $-198 Mil.
Revenue was 895.279 + 931.082 + 842.428 + 998.592 = $3,667 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $1,248 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $6,877 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(6671.029 - 2737.654)/13945.608
=0.2821

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=3389.353/13945.608
=0.243

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(656.402 - -197.743)/13945.608
=0.0612

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=1248.030/6876.643
=0.1815

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=3667.381/13945.608
=0.263

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Alliance Global Group has a Altman Z-Score of 1.25 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Alliance Global Group  (OTCPK:ALGGY) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Alliance Global Group Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Alliance Global Group Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
7th Floor, 1880 Eastwood Avenue, 188 E. Rodriguez Jr. Avenue, Bagumbayan, Eastwood City CyberPark, Quezon, PHL, 1110
Alliance Global Group Inc is a Philippine business conglomerate that operates four business segments: Megaworld, Travellers, GADC, and Emperador. Megaworld includes the development of real estate, integrated resorts, leasing of properties, and hotel operations. It consists of the manufacturing and distribution of distilled spirits and glass containers. The other segments offer tourism-related entertainment, hospitality, and leisure activities, as well as the operation of McDonald's restaurants in the Philippines.

Alliance Global Group Headlines

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