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Progressive Path Group Holdings (HKSE:01581) Altman Z-Score : 1.81 (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is Progressive Path Group Holdings Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.81 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Progressive Path Group Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 1.81, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Progressive Path Group Holdings is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Progressive Path Group Holdings's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01581' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.11   Med: 1.81   Max: 3.49
Current: 1.81

During the past 11 years, Progressive Path Group Holdings's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.49. The lowest was 1.11. And the median was 1.81.


Progressive Path Group Holdings Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Progressive Path Group Holdings's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

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Progressive Path Group Holdings Altman Z-Score Chart

Progressive Path Group Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.74 1.81 1.72 1.11 1.80

Progressive Path Group Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 1.11 - 1.80 -

Competitive Comparison of Progressive Path Group Holdings's Altman Z-Score

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, Progressive Path Group Holdings's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Progressive Path Group Holdings's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Progressive Path Group Holdings's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Progressive Path Group Holdings's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Progressive Path Group Holdings Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Progressive Path Group Holdings's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1402+1.4*0.0828+3.3*0.0645+0.6*0.1511+1.0*1.2198
=1.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2024:
Total Assets was HK$597.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$362.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$278.3 Mil.
Retained Earnings was HK$49.5 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was HK$23.9 Mil.
Interest Expense was HK$-14.7 Mil.
Revenue was HK$728.5 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was HK$51.5 Mil.
Total Liabilities was HK$340.7 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(362.006 - 278.283)/597.266
=0.1402

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=49.481/597.266
=0.0828

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(23.892 - -14.654)/597.266
=0.0645

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=51.460/340.654
=0.1511

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=728.528/597.266
=1.2198

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Progressive Path Group Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 1.81 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Progressive Path Group Holdings  (HKSE:01581) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Progressive Path Group Holdings Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Progressive Path Group Holdings Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 22 Hoi Wing Road, Unit 1108, 11th Floor, Tuen Mun Central Square, Tuen Mun, New Territories, Hong Kong, HKG
Progressive Path Group Holdings Ltd is engaged in construction engineering work and the provision of construction machinery rental services in Hong Kong. Its construction machinery rental services represent the rental of construction machines and construction vehicles to customers, and the provision of machine operators and transportation services as part of its one-stop construction machinery rental services. Its construction works represent the construction projects undertaken, the nature of which are broadly classified as foundation and site formation works, and builder's work and general building works. Its segments are Construction works and Construction Machinery Rental. Majority of the revenue is derived from the Construction machinery rental segment.
Executives
Profit Gold Global Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Kwok Wai Sheung Melody 2202 Interest of your spouse
Wu Wing Hang 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

Progressive Path Group Holdings Headlines

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