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China Science and Education Industry Group (HKSE:01756) Altman Z-Score : 0.90 (As of Mar. 23, 2025)


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What is China Science and Education Industry Group Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 0.91 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

China Science and Education Industry Group has a Altman Z-Score of 0.90, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Science and Education Industry Group's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01756' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.78   Med: 0.81   Max: 1.64
Current: 0.91

During the past 8 years, China Science and Education Industry Group's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.64. The lowest was 0.78. And the median was 0.81.


China Science and Education Industry Group Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Science and Education Industry Group's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Science and Education Industry Group Altman Z-Score Chart

China Science and Education Industry Group Annual Data
Trend Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23 Aug24
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 1.64 0.80 0.78 0.81 0.89

China Science and Education Industry Group Semi-Annual Data
Aug17 Aug18 Feb19 Aug19 Feb20 Aug20 Feb21 Aug21 Feb22 Aug22 Feb23 Aug23 Feb24 Aug24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.78 - 0.81 - 0.89

Competitive Comparison of China Science and Education Industry Group's Altman Z-Score

For the Education & Training Services subindustry, China Science and Education Industry Group's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Science and Education Industry Group's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Education Industry

For the Education industry and Consumer Defensive sector, China Science and Education Industry Group's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Science and Education Industry Group's Altman Z-Score falls into.



China Science and Education Industry Group Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

China Science and Education Industry Group's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.1003+1.4*0.3543+3.3*0.0771+0.6*0.1763+1.0*0.1691
=0.90

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Aug. 2024:
Total Assets was HK$8,182 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$976 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$1,797 Mil.
Retained Earnings was HK$2,899 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was HK$532 Mil.
Interest Expense was HK$-99 Mil.
Revenue was HK$1,384 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was HK$708 Mil.
Total Liabilities was HK$4,017 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(975.97 - 1796.607)/8181.543
=-0.1003

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=2898.953/8181.543
=0.3543

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(531.852 - -98.816)/8181.543
=0.0771

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=708.000/4016.967
=0.1763

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=1383.664/8181.543
=0.1691

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

China Science and Education Industry Group has a Altman Z-Score of 0.90 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


China Science and Education Industry Group  (HKSE:01756) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


China Science and Education Industry Group Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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China Science and Education Industry Group Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Number 11 Huali Road, The Administration Building of Guangzhou, Huali Science and Technology Town, Zengcheng District, Guangzhou, Guangdong, CHN
China Science and Education Industry Group Ltd formerly China Vocational Education Holdings Ltd is a provider of private higher education and vocational education offering applied science-focused and practice-oriented programs. Its schools offer private higher education and private vocational education in fields of applied sciences to prepare students with the necessary knowledge base, skill sets, and accreditations to secure jobs and pursue careers in particular professions, trades, and industries.
Executives
Zhang Yude 2305 Beneficiary of a trust
51job, Inc 2101 Beneficial owner
Hl-diamond Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Huali Education Holdings Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Zhang Zhifeng 2307 Founder of a discretionary trust who can infl
Ubs Trustees (b.v.i.) Limited 2301 Trustee

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