Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co (HKSE:02657) Altman Z-Score: 8.51 (As of Aug. 20, 2026) — 30% Below Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

HKSE:02657 Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co Ltd HKSE:02657
20 GF Score
Price HK$54.00
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co Altman Z-Score?

Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co HKSE:02657 +1.79% 20 Altman Z-Score is 8.51 as of Aug. 20, 2026, which is 30% below its 10-year median of 12.23. GuruFocus rates HKSE:02657 with a GF Score™ of 20/100. The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 1,932 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co ranks better than 88.66% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 8.51 is strong.

Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co has a Altman Z-Score of 8.51, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:02657' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 8.51   Med: 12.23   Max: 12.23
Current: 8.51

During the past 4 years, Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 12.23. The lowest was 8.51. And the median was 12.23.


Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co  (HKSE:02657) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co Altman Z-Score Chart

Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co Annual Data
Trend Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z-Score
0.00 0.00 0.00 12.23

Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co Semi-Annual Data
Dec22 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.23

HKSE:02657 vs PG, CL, KVUE: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Household & Personal Products subindustry, Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co Altman Z-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.


HKSE:02657
20GF Score
Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co Ltd HKSE:02657
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.5834+1.4*0.0546+3.3*0.1739+0.6*10.2978+1.0*0.9797
=8.51

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2025:
Total Assets was HK$2,762 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$2,258 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$647 Mil.
Retained Earnings was HK$151 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was HK$474 Mil.
Interest Expense was HK$-6 Mil.
Revenue was HK$2,706 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was HK$7,568 Mil.
Total Liabilities was HK$735 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2258.24 - 646.699)/2762.117
=0.5834

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=150.759/2762.117
=0.0546

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(474.258 - -6.04)/2762.117
=0.1739

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=7567.789/734.896
=10.2978

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=2706.065/2762.117
=0.9797

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co has a Altman Z-Score of 8.51 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 8.51 mean?
Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co (HKSE:02657) has a Altman Z-Score of 8.51 as of Aug. 20, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co and its competitors. This is 30% below median its historical median of 12.23. Over the past decade, Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 8.51 to 12.23. According to the industry distribution chart, Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co ranks #219 out of 1932 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 11.3%.
Is Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co's Altman Z-Score too high?
Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co's current Altman Z-Score of 8.51 is 30% below median its 10-year median of 12.23. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 8.51 to a high of 12.23. The Consumer Packaged Goods industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.91. Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co's value of 8.51 is 192.9% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co ranks #219 out of 1932 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co has a GF Score™ of 20/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co's Altman Z-Score compare to PG and CL?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co ranks #219 out of 1932 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co in the top 11% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.91. Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co's value of 8.51 is 192.9% above this benchmark. Historically, Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 8.51 to 12.23 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 12.23 vs. the industry median of 2.91, Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Consumer Packaged Goods companies is 2.91, based on 1,932 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co's current Altman Z-Score of 8.51 is 192.9% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co and its competitors. For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.91 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co's current Altman Z-Score is 8.51, which is 30% below median its own 10-year median of 12.23. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co stock overvalued right now?
Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co (HKSE:02657) has a current Altman Z-Score of 8.51. The current Altman Z-Score is 8.51, which is 30% below median its 10-year median of 12.23 and 192.9% above the Consumer Packaged Goods industry median of 2.91. Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co's overall GF Score™ is 20/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co (HKSE:02657), the current Altman Z-Score is 8.51 as of Aug. 20, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co Business Description

Address No. 339 Tongpu Road, 9th Floor, Building 3, Putuo District, Shanghai, CHN
Shanghai Forest Cabin Cosmetics Group Co Ltd is a premium domestic skincare brand in China with a focus on the anti-wrinkle and firming skincare market. It offers a comprehensive selection of premium skincare solutions under Forest Cabin, encompassing essence oils, face creams, toners and lotions, serums, facial masks, and sunscreens, designed to support various stages of a skincare routine. The company generates revenue from the sale of its skincare products, with the majority derived from essential oil sales. Geographically, it generated maximum revenue from China.
20GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:02657

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$54.00
Price