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Nongfu Spring Co (HKSE:09633) Altman Z-Score : 16.49 (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is Nongfu Spring Co Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 15.59 is strong.

Nongfu Spring Co has a Altman Z-Score of 16.49, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nongfu Spring Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:09633' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 15.59   Med: 22.43   Max: 32.07
Current: 15.59

During the past 7 years, Nongfu Spring Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 32.07. The lowest was 15.59. And the median was 22.43.


Nongfu Spring Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Nongfu Spring Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Nongfu Spring Co Altman Z-Score Chart

Nongfu Spring Co Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - 32.07 25.40 19.46 15.68

Nongfu Spring Co Semi-Annual Data
Dec17 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 25.40 - 19.46 - 15.68

Competitive Comparison of Nongfu Spring Co's Altman Z-Score

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic subindustry, Nongfu Spring Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nongfu Spring Co's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Nongfu Spring Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nongfu Spring Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Nongfu Spring Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Nongfu Spring Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1747+1.4*0+3.3*0.3213+0.6*23.9229+1.0*0.8683
=16.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was HK$53,745 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$31,130 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$21,741 Mil.
Retained Earnings was HK$0 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was HK$17,159 Mil.
Interest Expense was HK$-109 Mil.
Revenue was HK$46,669 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was HK$538,143 Mil.
Total Liabilities was HK$22,495 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(31130.495 - 21740.559)/53745.155
=0.1747

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=0/53745.155
=0

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(17159.424 - -109.088)/53745.155
=0.3213

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=538143.418/22494.903
=23.9229

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=46668.505/53745.155
=0.8683

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Nongfu Spring Co has a Altman Z-Score of 16.49 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Nongfu Spring Co  (HKSE:09633) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Nongfu Spring Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Nongfu Spring Co (HKSE:09633) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 181, Geyazhuang, Xihu District, Hangzhou, CHN, 310024
Founded in 1996, Nongfu Spring is a leading manufacturer of bottled water, ready-to-drink tea, juice and functional beverages in China. It holds the number-one share in the bottled water market; this segment contributed approximately 55% of the firm's revenue and EBIT in 2022.

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