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PT Alumindo Light Metal Industry Tbk (ISX:ALMI) Altman Z-Score : -4.70 (As of Apr. 17, 2025)


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What is PT Alumindo Light Metal Industry Tbk Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of -4.7 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

PT Alumindo Light Metal Industry Tbk has a Altman Z-Score of -4.70, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Alumindo Light Metal Industry Tbk's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ISX:ALMI' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.75   Med: -1.41   Max: -0.23
Current: -4.7

During the past 7 years, PT Alumindo Light Metal Industry Tbk's highest Altman Z-Score was -0.23. The lowest was -4.75. And the median was -1.41.


PT Alumindo Light Metal Industry Tbk Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for PT Alumindo Light Metal Industry Tbk's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PT Alumindo Light Metal Industry Tbk Altman Z-Score Chart

PT Alumindo Light Metal Industry Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - -0.23 -2.04

PT Alumindo Light Metal Industry Tbk Quarterly Data
Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.41 -2.04 -2.88 -3.73 -4.75

Competitive Comparison of PT Alumindo Light Metal Industry Tbk's Altman Z-Score

For the Aluminum subindustry, PT Alumindo Light Metal Industry Tbk's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Alumindo Light Metal Industry Tbk's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, PT Alumindo Light Metal Industry Tbk's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Alumindo Light Metal Industry Tbk's Altman Z-Score falls into.


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PT Alumindo Light Metal Industry Tbk Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

PT Alumindo Light Metal Industry Tbk's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.22+1.4*-3.6039+3.3*-0.216+0.6*0.887+1.0*0.7941
=-4.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2024:
Total Assets was Rp591,521 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp188,207 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp318,348 Mil.
Retained Earnings was Rp-2,131,796 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -46526.188 + -24373.282 + -31002.687 + -64946.752 = Rp-166,849 Mil.
Interest Expense was -8685.298 + -9452.197 + -9658.892 + -11264.057 = Rp-39,060 Mil.
Revenue was 0 + 72581.119 + 217489.976 + 179681.876 = Rp469,753 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was Rp282,384 Mil.
Total Liabilities was Rp318,348 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(188207.023 - 318348.382)/591520.94
=-0.22

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-2131795.555/591520.94
=-3.6039

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-166848.909 - -39060.444)/591520.94
=-0.216

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=282384.000/318348.382
=0.887

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=469752.971/591520.94
=0.7941

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

PT Alumindo Light Metal Industry Tbk has a Altman Z-Score of -4.70 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


PT Alumindo Light Metal Industry Tbk  (ISX:ALMI) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


PT Alumindo Light Metal Industry Tbk Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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PT Alumindo Light Metal Industry Tbk Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Jalan Kembang Jepun No. 38-40, Surabaya, IDN, 60162
PT Alumindo Light Metal Industry Tbk is an Indonesia-based flat-rolled aluminum manufacturing company. It deals with aluminum-based products such as mainly sheets, circles, coils, foil, and other products. The Aluminium sheet is used for kitchen utensils and household products, electrical appliances, transportation, and building materials, whereas the foil is used for packaging materials. Geographically it derives the majority of its revenue from Indonesia and also has a presence in Asia, Europe, Australia, United States of America, and the Middle East.

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