Cerved Group SpA (MEX:CERVN) Altman Z-Score: 1.92 (As of Jul. 06, 2026) — 32% Above Median


What is Cerved Group SpA Altman Z-Score?

Cerved Group SpA MEX:CERVN 8 Altman Z-Score is 1.92 as of Jul. 06, 2026, which is 32% above its 10-year median of 1.46. GuruFocus rates MEX:CERVN with a GF Score™ of 8/100. The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.94 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Cerved Group SpA has a Altman Z-Score of 1.92, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Cerved Group SpA is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cerved Group SpA's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:CERVN' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.06   Med: 1.46   Max: 1.98
Current: 1.94

During the past 11 years, Cerved Group SpA's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.98. The lowest was 0.06. And the median was 1.46.


Cerved Group SpA  (MEX:CERVN) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Cerved Group SpA Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Cerved Group SpA Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Cerved Group SpA's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Cerved Group SpA Altman Z-Score Chart

Cerved Group SpA Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.61 1.98 1.52 1.57 1.42

Cerved Group SpA Quarterly Data
Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.39 1.42 1.69 1.95 1.93

MEX:CERVN vs VALU: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Financial Data & Stock Exchanges subindustry, Cerved Group SpA's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cerved Group SpA Altman Z-Score vs Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Cerved Group SpA's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cerved Group SpA's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Cerved Group SpA Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Cerved Group SpA's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0531+1.4*0.0545+3.3*0.0376+0.6*2.2129+1.0*0.3326
=1.92

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2021:
Total Assets was MXN36,088.08 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN8,114.59 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN6,199.59 Mil.
Retained Earnings was MXN1,967.59 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -35.705 + 291.251 + 687.548 + 155.07 = MXN1,098.16 Mil.
Interest Expense was -87.909 + -405.723 + -86.801 + 321.95 = MXN-258.48 Mil.
Revenue was 2653.127 + 3054.42 + 3015.048 + 3281.527 = MXN12,004.12 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was MXN47,633.75 Mil.
Total Liabilities was MXN21,525.27 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(8114.588 - 6199.588)/36088.076
=0.0531

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=1967.59/36088.076
=0.0545

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(1098.164 - -258.483)/36088.076
=0.0376

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=47633.749/21525.269
=2.2129

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=12004.122/36088.076
=0.3326

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Cerved Group SpA has a Altman Z-Score of 1.92 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 1.92 mean?
Cerved Group SpA (MEX:CERVN) has a Altman Z-Score of 1.92 as of Jul. 06, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Cerved Group SpA and its competitors. This is 32% above median its historical median of 1.46. Over the past decade, Cerved Group SpA's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.06 to 1.98.
Is Cerved Group SpA's Altman Z-Score too high?
Cerved Group SpA's current Altman Z-Score of 1.92 is 32% above median its 10-year median of 1.46. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.06 to a high of 1.98. The Capital Markets industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.62. Cerved Group SpA's value of 1.92 is 26.6% below this industry median. Overall, Cerved Group SpA has a GF Score™ of 8/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Cerved Group SpA's Altman Z-Score compare to VALU?
Cerved Group SpA's Altman Z-Score of 1.92 can be compared against companies in the Capital Markets industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.62. Cerved Group SpA's value of 1.92 is 26.6% below this benchmark. Historically, Cerved Group SpA's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.06 to 1.98 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.46 vs. the industry median of 2.62, Cerved Group SpA has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Capital Markets company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Capital Markets companies is 2.62, based on 662 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Cerved Group SpA's current Altman Z-Score of 1.92 is 26.6% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Cerved Group SpA and its competitors. For the Capital Markets industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.62 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Cerved Group SpA's current Altman Z-Score is 1.92, which is 32% above median its own 10-year median of 1.46. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Cerved Group SpA stock overvalued right now?
Cerved Group SpA (MEX:CERVN) has a current Altman Z-Score of 1.92. The current Altman Z-Score is 1.92, which is 32% above median its 10-year median of 1.46 and 26.6% below the Capital Markets industry median of 2.62. Cerved Group SpA's overall GF Score™ is 8/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Cerved Group SpA (MEX:CERVN), the current Altman Z-Score is 1.92 as of Jul. 06, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Cerved Group SpA Business Description

Address Via Dell’Unione Europea, 6A, 6B, San Donato Milanese, Milan, ITA, 20097
Cerved Group SpA is a holding company that owns the Cerved Group, an Italian credit information service provider. It operates through three segments. The Risk Management segment, which accounts for the majority of the Cerved Group's revenue, offers products and services that help businesses and financial institutions to assess the credit status of their customers, business counterparties, and potential customers. The Growth Services segment offers information and analyses that help customers to understand the target market and regions, develop businesses, and improve customer satisfaction. The credit management segment assesses and manages troubled receivables and assets. It generates the majority of its revenue from the Italian domestic market.