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UpconNGO:5075 -0.46%69 Altman Z-Score is 11.67 as of Jul. 13, 2026, which is 23% above its 10-year median of 9.45. GuruFocus rates NGO:5075 with a GF Score™ of 69/100 and a GF Value™ of 円736.78 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 1,754 Construction companies, Upcon ranks better than 95.32% on this metric.
The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Good Sign:
Altman Z-score of 9.55 is strong.
Upcon has a Altman Z-Score of 11.67, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Upcon's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
NGO:5075'
s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 8.04 Med: 9.45 Max: 27.65
Current: 9.55
During the past 7 years, Upcon's highest Altman Z-Score was 27.65. The lowest was 8.04. And the median was 9.45.
Upcon (NGO:5075) Altman Z-Score Explanation
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Upcon Altman Z-Score Related Terms
Upcon Altman Z-Score Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Upcon's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
NGO:5075 vs PWR, FIX, EME: Altman Z-Score Comparison
For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, Upcon's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Upcon Altman Z-Score vs Construction Industry
For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Upcon's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Upcon's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Upcon's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
1.2
*
X1
+
1.4
*
X2
+
3.3
*
X3
+
0.6
*
X4
+
1.0
*
X5
=
1.2
*
0.633
+
1.4
*
0.7222
+
3.3
*
0.1871
+
0.6
*
14.6899
+
1.0
*
0.4681
=
11.67
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Upcon (NGO:5075) has a Altman Z-Score of 11.67 as of Jul. 13, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Upcon and its competitors. This is 23% above median its historical median of 9.45. Over the past decade, Upcon's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 8.04 to 27.65. According to the industry distribution chart, Upcon ranks #82 out of 1754 companies in the Construction industry, placing it in the top 4.7%.
Is Upcon's Altman Z-Score too high?
Upcon's current Altman Z-Score of 11.67 is 23% above median its 10-year median of 9.45. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 8.04 to a high of 27.65. The Construction industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.33. Upcon's value of 11.67 is 400.9% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Upcon ranks #82 out of 1754 companies in the Construction industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Upcon has a GF Score™ of 69/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Upcon's Altman Z-Score compare to PWR and FIX?
According to the Construction industry distribution chart, Upcon ranks #82 out of 1754 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Upcon in the top 5% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.33. Upcon's value of 11.67 is 400.9% above this benchmark. Historically, Upcon's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 8.04 to 27.65 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 9.45 vs. the industry median of 2.33, Upcon has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Construction company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Construction companies is 2.33, based on 1,754 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Upcon's current Altman Z-Score of 11.67 is 400.9% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Upcon and its competitors. For the Construction industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.33 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Upcon's current Altman Z-Score is 11.67, which is 23% above median its own 10-year median of 9.45. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Upcon stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Upcon (NGO:5075) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円736.78, compared to a current price of 円1,308.00 — trading 77.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 11.67, which is 23% above median its 10-year median of 9.45 and 400.9% above the Construction industry median of 2.33. Upcon's overall GF Score™ is 69/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Upcon (NGO:5075), the current Altman Z-Score is 11.67 as of Jul. 13, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Upcon (NGO:5075) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Upcon stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of 円1,308.00 is trading 77.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円736.78.
GuruFocus considers Upcon to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for NGO:5075:
Altman Z-Score: 11.67 (23% above median its 10-year median of 9.45)
GF Value™: 円736.78 vs. price of 円1,308.00 (77.5% above fair value)
Industry Position: 400.9% above the Construction median (#82 of 1754)
No single metric tells the full story. See the NGO:5075 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Upcon Corp operates in the civil engineering and construction industry predominantly in Japan. The company applies its Upcon method, which uses completely non-freon urethane resin and small machines to repair subsidence, tilt, steps, gaps, etc., in concrete floors, caused by earthquakes or uneven ground settlement. The Upcon method is also used to correct unevenness on roads, ports, and airports, mainly for public works projects. In addition, the company provides gap and cavity filling services, maintains and repairs waterway tunnels, and is working on several projects, including a new construction method using urethane foam resin. It operates in a single segment, the subsidence correction business.
69GF Score
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