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Archer-Daniels Midland Co (Archer-Daniels Midland Co) Altman Z-Score

: 3.49 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 3.48 is strong.

Archer-Daniels Midland Co has a Altman Z-Score of 3.49, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Archer-Daniels Midland Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ADM' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.79   Med: 3.3   Max: 3.71
Current: 3.48

During the past 13 years, Archer-Daniels Midland Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.71. The lowest was 2.79. And the median was 3.30.


Archer-Daniels Midland Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Archer-Daniels Midland Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Archer-Daniels Midland Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.06 2.79 3.16 3.66 3.60

Archer-Daniels Midland Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.66 3.65 3.80 3.80 3.60

Competitive Comparison

For the Farm Products subindustry, Archer-Daniels Midland Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Archer-Daniels Midland Co Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Archer-Daniels Midland Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Archer-Daniels Midland Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Archer-Daniels Midland Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Archer-Daniels Midland Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2033+1.4*0.4295+3.3*0.0904+0.6*1.0411+1.0*1.7194
=3.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $54,631 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $29,767 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $18,662 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $23,465 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 734 + 1031 + 1132 + 1397 = $4,294 Mil.
Interest Expense was -165 + -155 + -180 + -147 = $-647 Mil.
Revenue was 22978 + 21695 + 25190 + 24072 = $93,935 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $31,405 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $30,166 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(29767 - 18662)/54631
=0.2033

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=23465/54631
=0.4295

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(4294 - -647)/54631
=0.0904

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=31405.379/30166
=1.0411

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=93935/54631
=1.7194

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Archer-Daniels Midland Co has a Altman Z-Score of 3.49 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Archer-Daniels Midland Co  (NYSE:ADM) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Archer-Daniels Midland Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Archer-Daniels Midland Co (Archer-Daniels Midland Co) Business Description

Address
77 West Wacker Drive, Suite 4600, Chicago, IL, USA, 60601
Archer-Daniels Midland is a major processor of oilseeds, corn, wheat, and other agricultural commodities. The company is also one of the largest grain merchandisers through its extensive network of logistical assets to store and transport crops around the globe. ADM also runs a nutrition business that focuses on both human and animal ingredients and is a large producer of corn-based sweeteners, starches, and ethanol.
Executives
Regina Jones officer: Senior Vice President 7102 COMMERCE WAY, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Strader Fruit Molly L officer: Vice Pres., Corp. Controller 77 WEST WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 4600, CHICAGO IL 60601
Brabander Ellen De director 2500 INNOVATION WAY, GREENFIELD IN 46140
D Cameron Findlay officer: Senior Vice President 77 W. WACKER DR., SUITE 2600, CHICAGO IL 60601
Juan R Luciano officer: Executive V.P. & COO 77 W. WACKER DR., SUITE 4600, CHICAGO IL 60601
Francisco J Sanchez director 77 W. WACKER DR., SUITE 4600, CHICAGO IL 60601
Gregory A Morris officer: Senior Vice President 77 W. WACKER DR., SUITE 4600, CHICAGO IL 60601
Collins James C. Jr. director 1007 MARKET STREET, D-9058, WILMINGTON DE 19898
Vikram Luthar officer: Vice President & Treasurer ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND COMPANY, 77 WEST WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 4600, CHICAGO IL 60601
Christopher M Cuddy officer: President-Corn 77 W. WACKER DR., SUITE 4600, CHICAGO IL 60601
Vincent F Macciocchi officer: Senior Vice President 77 W. WACKER DR., SUITE 4600, CHICAGO IL 60601
Ray G Young officer: Sr. Vice President 77 WEST WACKER DR., SUITE 4600, CHICAGO IL 60601
Theodore Iii Colbert director C/O THE BOEING COMPANY, 100 RIVERSIDE PLAZA, CHICAGO IL 60606-1596
Jennifer L Weber officer: Senior Vice President 1000 LOWES BOULEVARD, MOORESVILLE NC 28117
Joseph D. Taets officer: Vice President 77 W. WACKER DR., SUITE 4600, CHICAGO IL 60601