Foley Wines (NZSE:FWL) Altman Z-Score: 0.90 (As of Jul. 05, 2026) — 42% Below Median


NZSE:FWL Foley Wines Ltd NZSE:FWL
28 GF Score
Price NZ$0.47
GF Value NZ$0.90
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Foley Wines Altman Z-Score?

Foley Wines NZSE:FWL 28 Altman Z-Score is 0.90 as of Jul. 05, 2026, which is 42% below its 10-year median of 1.55. GuruFocus rates NZSE:FWL with a GF Score™ of 28/100 and a GF Value™ of NZ$0.90 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 208 Beverages - Alcoholic companies, Foley Wines ranks worse than 85.1% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 0.9 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Foley Wines has a Altman Z-Score of 0.90, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Foley Wines's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NZSE:FWL' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.9   Med: 1.55   Max: 2.5
Current: 0.9

During the past 13 years, Foley Wines's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.50. The lowest was 0.90. And the median was 1.55.


Foley Wines  (NZSE:FWL) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Foley Wines Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Foley Wines Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Foley Wines's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Foley Wines Altman Z-Score Chart

Foley Wines Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.58 1.43 1.27 1.02 0.99

Foley Wines Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 1.02 0.00 0.99 0.00

NZSE:FWL vs BF.B: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, Foley Wines's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Foley Wines Altman Z-Score vs Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Foley Wines's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Foley Wines's Altman Z-Score falls into.


NZSE:FWL
28GF Score
Foley Wines Ltd NZSE:FWL
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Foley Wines Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Foley Wines's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1748+1.4*0.1109+3.3*0.0054+0.6*0.3478+1.0*0.3056
=0.90

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2025:
Total Assets was NZ$230.82 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NZ$61.71 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NZ$21.36 Mil.
Retained Earnings was NZ$25.60 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was NZ$-2.39 Mil.
Interest Expense was NZ$-3.63 Mil.
Revenue was NZ$70.53 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was NZ$30.90 Mil.
Total Liabilities was NZ$88.82 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(61.71 - 21.364)/230.82
=0.1748

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=25.6/230.82
=0.1109

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-2.386 - -3.633)/230.82
=0.0054

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=30.896/88.821
=0.3478

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=70.531/230.82
=0.3056

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Foley Wines has a Altman Z-Score of 0.90 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 0.90 mean?
Foley Wines (NZSE:FWL) has a Altman Z-Score of 0.90 as of Jul. 05, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Foley Wines and its competitors. This is 42% below median its historical median of 1.55. Over the past decade, Foley Wines' Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.90 to 2.50. According to the industry distribution chart, Foley Wines ranks #177 out of 208 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, placing it in the top 85.1%.
Is Foley Wines' Altman Z-Score too high?
Foley Wines' current Altman Z-Score of 0.90 is 42% below median its 10-year median of 1.55. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.90 to a high of 2.50. The Beverages - Alcoholic industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.74. Foley Wines' value of 0.90 is 67.2% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Foley Wines ranks #177 out of 208 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Foley Wines has a GF Score™ of 28/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Foley Wines' Altman Z-Score compare to BF.B?
According to the Beverages - Alcoholic industry distribution chart, Foley Wines ranks #177 out of 208 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Foley Wines in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.74. Foley Wines' value of 0.90 is 67.2% below this benchmark. Historically, Foley Wines' own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.90 to 2.50 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.55 vs. the industry median of 2.74, Foley Wines has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Beverages - Alcoholic company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Beverages - Alcoholic companies is 2.74, based on 208 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Foley Wines's current Altman Z-Score of 0.90 is 67.2% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Foley Wines and its competitors. For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.74 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Foley Wines's current Altman Z-Score is 0.90, which is 42% below median its own 10-year median of 1.55. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Foley Wines stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Foley Wines (NZSE:FWL) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is NZ$0.90, compared to a current price of NZ$0.47 — trading 47.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 0.90, which is 42% below median its 10-year median of 1.55 and 67.2% below the Beverages - Alcoholic industry median of 2.74. Foley Wines' overall GF Score™ is 28/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Foley Wines (NZSE:FWL), the current Altman Z-Score is 0.90 as of Jul. 05, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Foley Wines (NZSE:FWL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Foley Wines stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of NZ$0.47 is trading 47.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of NZ$0.90. GuruFocus considers Foley Wines to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for NZSE:FWL:

  • Altman Z-Score: 0.90 (42% below median its 10-year median of 1.55)
  • GF Value™: NZ$0.90 vs. price of NZ$0.47 (47.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 28/100 with 4 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 67.2% below the Beverages - Alcoholic median (#177 of 208)

No single metric tells the full story. See the NZSE:FWL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Foley Wines Business Description

Address 13 Waihopai Valley Road, RD6, Blenheim, MBH, NZL, 7276
Foley Wines Ltd is a wine company that produces table wines and markets and sells premium wines in New Zealand and various export markets. The company's vineyards are in Marlborough and Martinborough, New Zealand. The company earns majority of its revenue from sale of bottled wines. It sells its products in New Zealand, Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Europe, and the rest of the world.
28GF Score

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Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

NZ$0.47
Price
NZ$0.90
GF Value