GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Beverages - Alcoholic » Foley Wines Ltd (NZSE:FWL) » Definitions » Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

Foley Wines (NZSE:FWL) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 4.96% (As of Jun. 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2003. Start your Free Trial

What is Foley Wines Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Foley Wines's forward rate of return for was 4.96%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Foley Wines's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

NZSE:FWL' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.77   Med: 6.62   Max: 21.01
Current: 5.04

During the past 13 years, Foley Wines's highest Forward Rate of Return was 21.01. The lowest was 0.77. And the median was 6.62.

NZSE:FWL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
62.5% of 160 companies
in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry
Industry Median: 8.895 vs NZSE:FWL: 5.04

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Foley Wines Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Foley Wines's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Foley Wines Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Foley Wines Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.81 13.21 10.40 19.86 4.96

Foley Wines Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 10.40 - 19.86 - 4.96

Competitive Comparison of Foley Wines's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, Foley Wines's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Foley Wines's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Foley Wines's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Foley Wines's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Foley Wines Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Foley Wines's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2024 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.0045/0.76+0.0437
=4.96 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Foley Wines  (NZSE:FWL) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Foley Wines Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Foley Wines's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Foley Wines Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
13 Waihopai Valley Road, RD6, Blenheim, MBH, NZL, 7276
Foley Wines Ltd is a wine company that produces table wines and markets and sells premium wines in New Zealand and various export markets. The company's vineyards are in Marlborough and Martinborough, New Zealand. The company earns majority of its revenue from sale of bottled wines. It sells its products in New Zealand, Australia, the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Europe, and the rest of the world.

Foley Wines Headlines

No Headlines