Hoa Phat Group JSC (STC:HPG) Altman Z-Score: 2.39 (As of Jul. 15, 2026) — Near Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

STC:HPG Hoa Phat Group JSC STC:HPG
92 GF Score
Price ₫22,500.00
GF Value ₫29,796.59
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Hoa Phat Group JSC Altman Z-Score?

Hoa Phat Group JSC STC:HPG +0.45% 92 Altman Z-Score is 2.39 as of Jul. 15, 2026, which is 2% below its 10-year median of 2.44. GuruFocus rates STC:HPG with a GF Score™ of 92/100 and a GF Value™ of ₫29,796.59 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 608 Steel companies, Hoa Phat Group JSC ranks worse than 50.82% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.41 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Hoa Phat Group JSC has a Altman Z-Score of 2.39, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Hoa Phat Group JSC is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hoa Phat Group JSC's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

STC:HPG' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.74   Med: 2.44   Max: 4.98
Current: 2.41

During the past 13 years, Hoa Phat Group JSC's highest Altman Z-Score was 4.98. The lowest was 1.74. And the median was 2.44.


Hoa Phat Group JSC  (STC:HPG) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Hoa Phat Group JSC Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Hoa Phat Group JSC Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Hoa Phat Group JSC's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Hoa Phat Group JSC Altman Z-Score Chart

Hoa Phat Group JSC Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.45 2.27 2.36 2.16 2.16

Hoa Phat Group JSC Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.19 2.08 2.28 2.16 2.47

STC:HPG vs NUE, STLD, RS: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, Hoa Phat Group JSC's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hoa Phat Group JSC Altman Z-Score vs Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Hoa Phat Group JSC's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hoa Phat Group JSC's Altman Z-Score falls into.


STC:HPG
92GF Score
Hoa Phat Group JSC STC:HPG
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Hoa Phat Group JSC Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Hoa Phat Group JSC's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0694+1.4*0.2309+3.3*0.111+0.6*1.5891+1.0*0.6609
=2.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was ₫259,327,500 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₫104,365,181 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₫86,369,839 Mil.
Retained Earnings was ₫59,889,614 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 10762183.84 + 4600129.963 + 4628313.172 + 4972383.494 = ₫24,963,010 Mil.
Interest Expense was -1333414.699 + -1236524.775 + -812194.102 + -439112.631 = ₫-3,821,246 Mil.
Revenue was 52900847.303 + 46176484.55 + 36407416.404 + 35910519.111 = ₫171,395,267 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was ₫189,967,780 Mil.
Total Liabilities was ₫119,545,708 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(104365180.994 - 86369839.062)/259327500.205
=0.0694

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=59889614.146/259327500.205
=0.2309

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(24963010.469 - -3821246.207)/259327500.205
=0.111

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=189967779.900/119545707.999
=1.5891

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=171395267.368/259327500.205
=0.6609

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Hoa Phat Group JSC has a Altman Z-Score of 2.39 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 2.39 mean?
Hoa Phat Group JSC (STC:HPG) has a Altman Z-Score of 2.39 as of Jul. 15, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Hoa Phat Group JSC and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 2.44. Over the past decade, Hoa Phat Group JSC's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.74 to 4.98. According to the industry distribution chart, Hoa Phat Group JSC ranks #309 out of 608 companies in the Steel industry, placing it in the top 50.8%.
Is Hoa Phat Group JSC's Altman Z-Score too high?
Hoa Phat Group JSC's current Altman Z-Score of 2.39 is near median its 10-year median of 2.44. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.74 to a high of 4.98. The Steel industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.45. Hoa Phat Group JSC's value of 2.39 is 2.2% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Hoa Phat Group JSC ranks #309 out of 608 companies in the Steel industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Hoa Phat Group JSC has a GF Score™ of 92/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Hoa Phat Group JSC's Altman Z-Score compare to NUE and STLD?
According to the Steel industry distribution chart, Hoa Phat Group JSC ranks #309 out of 608 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Hoa Phat Group JSC in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.45. Hoa Phat Group JSC's value of 2.39 is 2.2% below this benchmark. Historically, Hoa Phat Group JSC's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.74 to 4.98 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.44 vs. the industry median of 2.45, Hoa Phat Group JSC has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Steel company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Steel companies is 2.45, based on 608 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Hoa Phat Group JSC's current Altman Z-Score of 2.39 is 2.2% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Hoa Phat Group JSC and its competitors. For the Steel industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.45 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Hoa Phat Group JSC's current Altman Z-Score is 2.39, which is near median its own 10-year median of 2.44. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Hoa Phat Group JSC stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hoa Phat Group JSC (STC:HPG) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₫29,796.59, compared to a current price of ₫22,500.00 — trading 24.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 2.39, which is near median its 10-year median of 2.44 and 2.2% below the Steel industry median of 2.45. Hoa Phat Group JSC's overall GF Score™ is 92/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Hoa Phat Group JSC (STC:HPG), the current Altman Z-Score is 2.39 as of Jul. 15, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Hoa Phat Group JSC (STC:HPG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hoa Phat Group JSC stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ₫22,500.00 is trading 24.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of ₫29,796.59. GuruFocus considers Hoa Phat Group JSC to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for STC:HPG:

  • Altman Z-Score: 2.39 (near median its 10-year median of 2.44)
  • GF Value™: ₫29,796.59 vs. price of ₫22,500.00 (24.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 92/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 2.2% below the Steel median (#309 of 608)

No single metric tells the full story. See the STC:HPG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Hoa Phat Group JSC Business Description

Address 66 Nguyen Du, P. Nguyen Du, Hai Ba Trung District, Hanoi, VNM
Hoa Phat Group JSC is engaged in the business of steel production and trading. The company operates through four segments which include Production and trading of steel:, Other industrial production, Construction and development of real estate, and Agriculture. The core segment for operations is the steel production and trading accounts for the majority of the Groups revenue.
92GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STC:HPG

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₫22,500.00
Price
₫29,796.59
GF Value