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Grandy House (TSE:8999) Altman Z-Score : 1.73 (As of Mar. 05, 2025)


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What is Grandy House Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.73 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Grandy House has a Altman Z-Score of 1.73, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Grandy House's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:8999' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.7   Med: 2.18   Max: 2.35
Current: 1.73

During the past 13 years, Grandy House's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.35. The lowest was 1.70. And the median was 2.18.


Grandy House Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Grandy House's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Grandy House Altman Z-Score Chart

Grandy House Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.93 2.06 2.34 2.11 1.90

Grandy House Quarterly Data
Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Sep24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.97 1.98 1.88 1.90 1.72

Competitive Comparison of Grandy House's Altman Z-Score

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, Grandy House's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Grandy House's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Grandy House's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Grandy House's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Grandy House Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Grandy House's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.4308+1.4*0.2868+3.3*0.0133+0.6*0.3559+1.0*0.5537
=1.73

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2024:
Total Assets was 円71,730 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円57,195 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円26,297 Mil.
Retained Earnings was 円20,575 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 0 + 282.667 + 124.102 + 263.462 = 円670 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + -96.53 + -92.853 + -92.601 = 円-282 Mil.
Revenue was 0 + 14018.981 + 12775.865 + 12925.107 = 円39,720 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was 円16,859 Mil.
Total Liabilities was 円47,365 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(57195.118 - 26296.603)/71729.968
=0.4308

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=20575.215/71729.968
=0.2868

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(670.231 - -281.984)/71729.968
=0.0133

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=16859.171/47364.915
=0.3559

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=39719.953/71729.968
=0.5537

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Grandy House has a Altman Z-Score of 1.73 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Grandy House  (TSE:8999) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Grandy House Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Grandy House Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
4-3-18, Odori, Tochigi Prefecture, Utsunomiya, JPN, 3320-081
Grandy House Corp is a real estate company based in Japan. The company's three reportable segments are classified as Real Estate Sales, Construction Material Sales, and Real Estate Leasing. The Real Estate Sales business includes sales of new homes including building contract and sale of land and existing homes and home renovation. The Construction Material Sales business comprises of production and sale of pre-cut materials for housing and sale of construction materials and home facilities and equipment. In the Real Estate Leasing business, activities comprise the leasing of office, homes, related properties, and parking facilities.

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