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Xinyuan Real Estate Co (Xinyuan Real Estate Co) Altman Z-Score : -0.02 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is Xinyuan Real Estate Co Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of -0.03 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Xinyuan Real Estate Co has a Altman Z-Score of -0.02, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Xinyuan Real Estate Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XIN' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.03   Med: 0.84   Max: 1.73
Current: -0.03

During the past 13 years, Xinyuan Real Estate Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.73. The lowest was -0.03. And the median was 0.84.


Xinyuan Real Estate Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Xinyuan Real Estate Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Xinyuan Real Estate Co Altman Z-Score Chart

Xinyuan Real Estate Co Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.69 0.72 0.50 0.04 -0.02

Xinyuan Real Estate Co Semi-Annual Data
Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.41 0.04 0.09 -0.02 -

Competitive Comparison of Xinyuan Real Estate Co's Altman Z-Score

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Xinyuan Real Estate Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Xinyuan Real Estate Co's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Xinyuan Real Estate Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Xinyuan Real Estate Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Xinyuan Real Estate Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Xinyuan Real Estate Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0165+1.4*-0.1122+3.3*-0.0157+0.6*0.0029+1.0*0.1624
=-0.02

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2022:
Total Assets was $5,850.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,889.2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4,793.0 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-656.6 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was $-249.4 Mil.
Interest Expense was $-157.8 Mil.
Revenue was $950.0 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $16.5 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $5,767.5 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(4889.207 - 4792.96)/5850.278
=0.0165

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-656.638/5850.278
=-0.1122

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-249.441 - -157.752)/5850.278
=-0.0157

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=16.462/5767.491
=0.0029

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=950.012/5850.278
=0.1624

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Xinyuan Real Estate Co has a Altman Z-Score of -0.02 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Xinyuan Real Estate Co  (NYSE:XIN) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Xinyuan Real Estate Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Xinyuan Real Estate Co (Xinyuan Real Estate Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
79 Jianguo Road, 27th Floor, China Central Place, Tower II, Chaoyang District, Beijing, CHN, 100025
Xinyuan Real Estate Co Ltd operates as a real estate developer and property manager in China. It develops and manages large-scale, high-quality real estate projects in over ten tier one and tier two cities, including Beijing, Shanghai, Zhengzhou, Suzhou, among others. It aims to provide comfortable and convenient real estate-related products and services to middle-class consumers. Xinyuan's product portfolio consists of multiple-rise buildings, sub-high-rise buildings, and high-rise buildings, together with auxiliary services and amenities such as retail outlets, leisure and health facilities, kindergartens and schools. In addition, the company provides property management services for its projects and other real estate-related services to its customers.