Churchill DownsXTER:CHR -0.66%62 Altman Z-Score is 1.48 as of Jun. 24, 2026, which is 23% below its 10-year median of 1.93. GuruFocus rates XTER:CHR with a GF Score™ of 62/100 and a GF Value™ of €137.17 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 840 Travel & Leisure companies, Churchill Downs ranks worse than 60.12% on this metric.
The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Warning Sign:
Altman Z-score of 1.48 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.
Churchill Downs has a Altman Z-Score of 1.48, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Churchill Downs's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
XTER:CHR'
s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.48 Med: 1.93 Max: 3.32
Current: 1.48
During the past 13 years, Churchill Downs's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.32. The lowest was 1.48. And the median was 1.93.
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Churchill Downs Altman Z-Score Related Terms
Churchill Downs Altman Z-Score Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Churchill Downs's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Gambling subindustry, Churchill Downs's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Churchill Downs Altman Z-Score vs Travel & Leisure Industry
For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Churchill Downs's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Churchill Downs's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Churchill Downs's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
1.2
*
X1
+
1.4
*
X2
+
3.3
*
X3
+
0.6
*
X4
+
1.0
*
X5
=
1.2
*
-0.0513
+
1.4
*
0.1462
+
3.3
*
0.1127
+
0.6
*
0.9599
+
1.0
*
0.3914
=
1.48
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Churchill Downs (XTER:CHR) has a Altman Z-Score of 1.48 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Churchill Downs and its competitors. This is 23% below median its historical median of 1.93. Over the past decade, Churchill Downs' Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.48 to 3.32. According to the industry distribution chart, Churchill Downs ranks #505 out of 840 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 60.1%.
Is Churchill Downs' Altman Z-Score too high?
Churchill Downs' current Altman Z-Score of 1.48 is 23% below median its 10-year median of 1.93. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.48 to a high of 3.32. The Travel & Leisure industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.99. Churchill Downs' value of 1.48 is 25.6% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Churchill Downs ranks #505 out of 840 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Churchill Downs has a GF Score™ of 62/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Churchill Downs' Altman Z-Score compare to ?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, Churchill Downs ranks #505 out of 840 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Churchill Downs in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.99. Churchill Downs' value of 1.48 is 25.6% below this benchmark. Historically, Churchill Downs' own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.48 to 3.32 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.93 vs. the industry median of 1.99, Churchill Downs has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Travel & Leisure company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Travel & Leisure companies is 1.99, based on 840 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Churchill Downs's current Altman Z-Score of 1.48 is 25.6% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Churchill Downs and its competitors. For the Travel & Leisure industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 1.99 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Churchill Downs's current Altman Z-Score is 1.48, which is 23% below median its own 10-year median of 1.93. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Churchill Downs stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Churchill Downs (XTER:CHR) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is €137.17, compared to a current price of €75.50 — trading 45% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 1.48, which is 23% below median its 10-year median of 1.93 and 25.6% below the Travel & Leisure industry median of 1.99. Churchill Downs' overall GF Score™ is 62/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Churchill Downs (XTER:CHR), the current Altman Z-Score is 1.48 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Churchill Downs (XTER:CHR) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Churchill Downs stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of €75.50 is trading 45% below its estimated GF Value™ of €137.17.
GuruFocus considers Churchill Downs to be Possible Value Trap.
Key valuation signals for XTER:CHR:
Altman Z-Score: 1.48 (23% below median its 10-year median of 1.93)
GF Value™: €137.17 vs. price of €75.50 (45% below fair value)
Industry Position: 25.6% below the Travel & Leisure median (#505 of 840)
No single metric tells the full story. See the XTER:CHR stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Churchill Downs Inc is a gaming entertainment, online wagering, and racing company. It operates through three business segments: Live and Historical Racing, Wagering Services, and Gaming. The Live and Historical Racing segment includes live and historical pari-mutuel racing. The Wagering Services segment includes the revenue and expenses from pari-mutuel wagers through TwinSpires, companies retail and online sports betting business and Gaming segment includes revenue and expenses for the casino properties and associated racetracks that support the casino license. The Gaming segment generates revenue and expenses from slot machines, video lottery terminals, video poker, HRMs, ancillary food and beverage services, hotel services, commission on pari-mutuel wagering, and racing events.
62GF Score
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